AlexanderSports.com has a total of 363 completed (plus 8 pending) sports picks the last 365-days.
* Return on Investment (ROI) figures above represent potential returns based on a $100 per unit risk amount. Please note that past results do not guarantee or imply future performance.
4 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 30, 2024
8:02 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
PICK MADE ON 4/30/2024 AT 1:59 PM EST
4 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 30, 2024
9:32 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
PICK MADE ON 4/30/2024 AT 2:02 PM EST
4 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 30, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
PICK MADE ON 4/30/2024 AT 2:07 PM EST
5 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 29, 2024
6:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
PICK MADE ON 4/29/2024 AT 8:37 AM EST
5 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 29, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
PICK MADE ON 4/29/2024 AT 9:05 AM EST
5 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 29, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
PICK MADE ON 4/29/2024 AT 8:40 AM EST
5 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 29, 2024
8:32 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
PICK MADE ON 4/29/2024 AT 9:08 AM EST
5 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 29, 2024
9:38 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
PICK MADE ON 4/29/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
1:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The likely loss of Robinson to an ankle injury is massive for the Knicks. Robinson was a menace on the glass in games one and two and gave the Knicks a legitimate option to harass Embiid when Hartenstein left the floor. With Robinson missing the entire second half, the Knicks' advantage on the glass disappeared. Game three was the first game of the series the Sixers won the rebounding battle, 36-32. Brunson broke out for 39 points but the Knicks bench had its worst game in game three as the Sixers seemed to focus in on the likes of Brogdanovic and McBride. Embiid and Tyrese Maxey continue to look for support and may have found some in Oubre in game three with his 15 points. The Sixers have a great opportunity to knot the series at two games apiece today and will do so with the Knicks bench taking a major hit without Robinson.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 8:43 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 4:15 PM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
I will take the Bombers running up against a rookie righty in the series finale. Yankees starter Stroman has a good track record against the Brewers and has been effective in his brief tenure with the Yankees thus far. The Yankees have been road warriors thus far with Friday's loss just their fifth on the road this season. The veteran middle of the order, particularly Soto and Judge, should get good swings against Myers on Sunday and help power the Yankees to victory. The two teams are nearly even in the bullpen, each ranked in the top five in bullpen ERA. Runs will be tough to come by in the final few innings so I'm leaning on the Yankees with the edge of Stroman facing the rookie righty.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 9:50 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 5:53 PM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
4:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Taijuan Walker's first start of the season comes at the right time, as the Phillies are red-hot. The offense is consistently scoring 5+ runs, so he'll have run support. This bullpen is top 10 in FIP and WAR, so they can shut the door behind him. This is why Walker's initial outing of 2024 will be a multi-run win. Michael King has been walking batters at one of the league's highest clips all season, which is why two of his past three opponents have scored more than five runs against him. San Diego's bullpen is mediocre. Roll with the Phillies to win.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 9:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 7:14 PM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
5:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Canucks, if they’re going to survive this series without Demko, have two strategies to choose from going forward. They can either be aggressive on the offensive end of the ice and hope that they can beat Saros enough to make up for any potential miscues on the defensive end. We saw that fail to work out in Game 2 as they fell behind early and never caught up in the loss. The alternative was what we saw in Game 3, where the Canucks were outshot badly but took advantage of a pair of power play goals to earn a low-scoring victory. DeSmith was solid in Game 3 but it’s tough to rely on him turning in that kind of performance on a night in, night out basis. With that in mind, you have to lean toward the Predators, feeding off the home crowd, to capitalize on a couple of miscues to even this series up heading back west.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 8:31 PM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Red Sox have won four of their last seven games. They have hit the ball well against left-handers and Wicks has struggled on the mound for the Cubs, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up 11 runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Red Sox in this game. The Cubs will struggle offensively in this game because Houck has done a good job on the mound for the Red Sox, giving up only nine runs in five starts. He gave up one run in two career starts against the Cubs and will keep their offense in check once again. Go with Boston to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 9:56 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 10:07 PM EST
6 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 28, 2024
9:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Timberwolves have won four of their last five games and five of their last seven road games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring 117 points per game while making over 48 percent of their shots in the playoffs. They’ve also done well at the charity stripe, making 88 percent of their free throws. Their rebounding has been very good and they grabbed more than 12 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, so expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. The Suns aren’t very good defensively and they haven’t played well in this series, giving up 120 points or more in two of their three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Timberwolves in this game. The Suns have lost three straight games and three straight home games. They aren’t playing well offensively and averaged less than 100 points per game in their first three games. Their ball movement hasn’t been good and their rebounding has fallen off as well, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Timberwolves, who average more than eight steals per game. The Timberwolves were one of the best defensive teams in the league during the regular season and they’ve played better in the playoffs, holding Phoenix to 99 points per game, so expect them to keep their offense in check.
PICK MADE ON 4/28/2024 AT 8:40 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/29/2024 AT 12:49 AM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
1:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Orlando has to play its best basketball to win again in game four, and while it won't win by double digits, I do believe it can cover the two-point spread. Cleveland didn't put up much of a fight in game three, and while it should compete better today, it won't be enough. Like they did in the first two games, the Magic kept the Cavaliers under their shooting average from long range. However, in game three, they easily dominated on the boards and kept Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen from scoring too many easy buckets at the rim. The return of Jalen Suggs was crucial, as he added 24 points on offense and helped make Mitchell (6-for-16) more uncomfortable than he was in the first two meetings. I don't expect too much to change in game four, with the Magic bullying the Cavaliers on their home floor to even up the series.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 10:08 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 4:01 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
4:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
St Louis has won 10 of its last 15 games played at Citi Field in the Big Apple against New York. St Louis has struggled a bit at the plate but on the mound has a 4.11 team ERA, which is not the best, but its ace on the staff will be on the mound Saturday. St Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Sonny Gray has had a strong beginning to his season, allowing 14 hits and just two runs in 16.1 innings pitched, with the Cardinals winning two of his three starts. The only loss St. Louis has suffered with Gray on the mound was 2-0 to Milwaukee. New York starting pitcher Adrian Houser has been inconsistent in four starts. The right-hander allowed a combined three runs in two starts but in the other two starts, allowed a combined 13 runs in 9 Innings pitched. New York has lost three of the four games that Houser has started this season.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 10:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 7:30 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
5:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Lightning look to avoid a sweep but this series has been one-sided and I see the Panthers dominating this game on both ends of the ice. The Panthers, who have scored 11 goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers should limit the Lightning offense with Gustav Forsling, Brandon Montour, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to sweep the series with a strong performance on the road.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 9:55 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 8:17 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
I fully expect the Bruins to wave the goal tandem, at least for this series and have Jeremy Swayman in net on Saturday night. Swayman has had the Leafs number this season with five straight wins and a dazzling near-96 percent save percentage in the two playoff games. The Bruins have dominated special teams in the series, scoring on 50% of their power play opportunities while only allowing one goal in 11 penalty-killing opportunities. Captain Marchand has once again done his job and is completely in the heads of the Maple Leafs heading into game four. The veteran winger has been an expert at this throughout his career and will certainly continue to agitate the Leafs in game four. The Bruins have done a lot of this damage without a big series from leading scorer David Pastrnak, who has just one goal thus far, and he is likely a timebomb that will soon go off. Ride with the Bs until the Maple Leafs can solve Swayman.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 9:57 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 11:10 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
8:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Denver Nuggets know how to win playoff games. Denver has won all three games and game three was their best performance of this series. This is not a good sign for the Lakers. The Nuggets are 5-0 in their last five playoff road games. While James and Davis have been solid, they don’t have the depth to beat this Nuggets squad as seen in game three. Aaron Gordon dropped 29 points for Denver. The Nuggets continue to dominate the boards. They have out-rebounded the Lakers in all three games including 51 boards compared to only 38 by the Lakers on Thursday. Los Angeles has not been able to score enough points in this series despite shooting 49% due to the rebounding margin. The Nuggets have held the Lakers to an average of 102 points in the series. They have now beaten the Lakers in 11 straight meetings.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 10:11 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 11:30 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Suarez (4-0, 1.36 ERA) has been the best pitcher on arguably the best starting staff in the majors. He shut down the Reds Monday night over seven innings of a 7-0 win in Cincinnati, allowing only two hits with a walk and five strikeouts. Suarez's current scoreless streak is the longest for a Phillies pitchers since another lefty, Cliff Lee, authored one that lasted 30 2/3 innings from Aug. 17-Sept. 10, 2011. Like Lee, Suarez succeeds more by mixing pitches instead of overpowering hitters. Suarez enters this game with a 2-0 record in five career outings against the Padres, two of them starts. He owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 innings, which doesn't include a win and save in the 2022 National League Championship Series.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 10:27 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 11:12 PM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
9:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Jordan Hicks has not allowed more than two runs in a start this season. After three home starts, he has a 1.80 ERA. He is the most reliable force in this game and the reason that the Giants will have a lead after six innings. Pittsburgh's Martin Perez has been getting tagged lately (seven runs allowed in his last two starts), and the Giants have a .257 team batting average against lefties. Expect this offense to score a few runs early. San Francisco will hold on late against a slumping offense.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 10:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 12:17 AM EST
7 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 27, 2024
10:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Golden Knights have won five of their last six games and six of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 15 goals in their last four home games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars have done a good job of killing penalties but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up seven goals in their last two games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Golden Knights in this game. The Stars have lost two straight games and three of their last five overall. They have struggled offensively and scored only six goals in their last three games. They have done a better job on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. The Golden Knights have killed over 79 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up eight goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Dallas’ offense in check. Go with Vegas to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/27/2024 AT 9:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/28/2024 AT 3:12 AM EST
8 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 26, 2024
1:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Lugo has been outstanding thus far with four quality starts of his five starts. He's kept the ball on the ground, thus avoiding big innings despite giving up 30 hits in 31 innings of work. He will benefit from a Tigers team that has not hit the ball well at home and keep them in the park thanks to the daunting dimensions at Comerica Park as well as the ability to keep the ball on the ground. The Royals have shown surprising pop despite a relatively no-name lineup this season. They have 28 home runs but, more importantly, they can generate runs with a lineup that has some speed to complement the power. Olson has yet to win a game this season, has a WHIP of 1.45, and has given up more hits than innings pitched thus far. Look for the Royals to generate runs with speed and execution and Lugo to once again stay out of the big inning.
PICK MADE ON 4/26/2024 AT 8:20 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/26/2024 AT 4:15 PM EST
8 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 26, 2024
5:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
These teams have clashed seven times since November. Indiana is 5-2, including a 2-0 home record, because they've scored more than 120 points in all but one of those meetings. Considering that the Bucks have only scored more than 115 points once in April (117 on April 10), this game does not bode well for them. As is, Milwaukee has plenty of issues on the road, hence their 18-22 (16-24-0 ATS) record in away games. With a cold offense, no Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a defense that can't contain the Pacers, the Bucks are in danger. Milwaukee's weak offensive rebounding also doesn't challenge Indiana's awful defensive rebounding, an area where they could get points back. Take the Pacers to win by more than five points again now that this series is in Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
PICK MADE ON 4/26/2024 AT 8:40 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/26/2024 AT 9:36 PM EST
8 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 26, 2024
7:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
If Demko was healthy for this game, the Canucks would be favored and likely would be up 2-0 in the series. Instead, he’s banged up and coach Rick Tocchet has said that DeSmith is going to be between the pipes for this contest. We saw how he struggled in the opener, stopping 12 of 15 shots before the empty net goal that closed the scoring. Vancouver was down a goal 74 seconds into the game and never managed to get even the rest of the way. With the backup goaltender between the pipes, Vancouver can’t be as freewheeling offensively as they usually are. Look for Nashville to feed off their home crowd and take Game 3 to earn the series lead.
PICK MADE ON 4/26/2024 AT 8:35 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/26/2024 AT 10:57 PM EST
8 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 26, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Tampa Bay Rays have not been at their best but this is a great spot to gain some confidence against the worst squad in baseball. The Chicago White Sox are rarely winning games, dropping nine of their last ten games. They could be on the way to 110 defeats this season. The Rays have Zach Eflin on the mound. The veteran has been dominant, posting 12.1 scoreless innings in his last two performances including a gem against the Yankees. He has conceded zero or one run in three of his last four outings. Chris Flexen has been shaky. He has been solid out of the 'pen but has surrendered 13 runs in 13.1 innings in his three starts this season.
PICK MADE ON 4/26/2024 AT 8:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/26/2024 AT 10:57 PM EST
8 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 26, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games and three of their last five road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 17 runs in their last three road games. They will play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers and Musgrove has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Phillies and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Padres have lost two of their last three home games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only six runs. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Nola has been dominant on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last four starts. He gave up four runs in his last two starts against the Padres and will keep their offense in check once again.
PICK MADE ON 4/26/2024 AT 8:24 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/27/2024 AT 12:51 AM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
12:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Berrios (4-0, 0.85 ERA) hasn't allowed a run in his last three outings covering 19 2/3 innings. His overall scoreless-innings streak stands at 21 2/3 innings. After posting three consecutive wins, Berrios is off to the best start of his career. In 21 career starts against the Royals, Berrios is 7-5 with a 4.72 ERA, most recently going seven innings and allowing two runs on five hits with seven strikeouts in a 5-2 win on Sept. 10, 2023. Berrios has held Salvador Perez to a .200 average with just three extra-base hits -- all doubles -- in 40 at-bats. Cole Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) will take the ball for Kansas City today. The left-hander recorded just five outs while matching a career high with seven runs allowed on nine hits in a 9-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:12 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 4:13 PM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Berrios (4-0, 0.85 ERA) hasn't allowed a run in his last three outings covering 19 2/3 innings. His overall scoreless-innings streak stands at 21 2/3 innings. After posting three consecutive wins, Berrios is off to the best start of his career. In 21 career starts against the Royals, Berrios is 7-5 with a 4.72 ERA, most recently going seven innings and allowing two runs on five hits with seven strikeouts in a 5-2 win on Sept. 10, 2023. Berrios has held Salvador Perez to a .200 average with just three extra-base hits -- all doubles -- in 40 at-bats. Cole Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) will take the ball for Kansas City today. The left-hander recorded just five outs while matching a career high with seven runs allowed on nine hits in a 9-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:15 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/26/2024 AT 9:18 AM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
3:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Colorado's downfall is on the mound as the Rockies are 30th or last in each of the following: ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed. The Rockies cannot offset that poor pitching with hitting as Colorado is just 14th in batting average and 20th in slugging percentage, while producing 88 runs which is only 23rd. San Diego on the other hand has the eighth best team batting average and has scored the seventh most runs, while carrying the 10th best slugging percentage. On the mound, San Diego holds its own with the 10th best team ERA and 14th best batting average allowed at just .234. San Diego starting pitcher Randy Vasquez is just 0-1, but has a 1.80 ERA after allowing just one earned run in five innings last Saturday versus Toronto but the Padres played poorly in the field as San Diego gave up three unearned runs while Vasquez was on the mound. Colorado starting pitcher Dakota Hudson has been hit hard in each of the last three starts allowing a combined 12 runs in just 14 innings and needless to say Colorado lost each of the three games.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:08 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 6:23 PM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
7:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Magic lost Suggs for nearly all of game two, but he's ready to play in game three. If he's close enough to 100 percent healthy, he'll give Orlando a capable defender to chase Mitchell and a three-point threat on offense. I expect he and Gary Harris to play much better in today's environment, providing a boost for the home team. With reliable performances from complementary players, Orlando will figure it out offensively. Protecting the paint on defense is another key, as Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen have scored too many easy buckets at the rim. Considering how poorly the Cavs have shot the three-ball in both games, reducing rim scoring is crucial.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:30 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:37 PM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Both goaltenders have played well in this series. The Panthers are just getting more shots on goal in the series, and the result has been them taking two, one-goal victories. The series has been close though and should continue to be so. The Lightning are now at home, where they have been much better. That will be the difference in game three, as they get the win.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:39 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 10:08 PM EST
9 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 25, 2024
7:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
It is truly now or never for the Sixers in game three at home vs. the Knicks. This should be an angry bunch after coughing up a five-point lead in the final 30 seconds of the game on Monday night. The Sixers can blame the refs but they also know that they were dominated on the glass and physically dominated down the stretch. The Sixers' defensive strategy against Brunson has worked brilliantly and the Sixers have held the Knicks offense in check overall. Back at home, I expect the Sixers to get better performances out of the likes of Oubre and Harris to ease the burden of Maxey and Embiid to lead the Sixers to win. Batum should also have a stronger game after being limited offensively in the first two games. The Knicks have been a bit lucky in the first two games, losing in each game before rallying to victory.
PICK MADE ON 4/25/2024 AT 9:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 10:56 PM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
1:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Montgomery (1-0, 1.50 ERA) won his first start for Arizona over the San Francisco Giants on Friday. He will make his second today as the Diamondbacks face the St. Louis Cardinals to close their three-game road series. The Cardinals won the series opener 5-3 on Monday and the Diamondbacks rolled to a 14-1 victory Tuesday. Montgomery, who spent the bulk of last season with the Cardinals before his trade to the Texas Rangers, went six innings in his first start for the Diamondbacks. He held the Giants to one run on four hits while striking out three and walking nobody. The Cardinals will start Kyle Gibson (1-2, 5.04), who delivered a quality start in his last outing, a 2-1, 10-inning loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday. Gibson allowed one run on three hits and four walks over six innings while getting in sync with catcher Willson Contreras. He is 3-3 with a 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Diamondbacks.
PICK MADE ON 4/24/2024 AT 8:46 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 3:59 PM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
4:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
MLB Free Pick - Baltimore at LAA The O's rank 15th in OBP (.316), 2nd in OPS (.780), 1st in home runs (35), and 2nd in RBI (123). Baltimore's pitching staff sports a 3.84 ERA (12th) and 1.18 WHIP (5th) in 2024. Kremer will take the hill for the visitors this afternoon in SoCal. The fifth-year pro went 5-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 13 road starts last year. In his most recent appearance on April 19, he held Kansas City to three runs on two hits and three walks in 5.2 innings. Kremer has faced the Angels three times in his career (2-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 15.1 IP), holding them scoreless twice.
PICK MADE ON 4/24/2024 AT 9:21 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 7:25 PM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Sox need a bullpen game and could be without Casas and possibly Devers. Carrasco fared well enough in his last start and while pitching against the same club in consecutive outings can be challenging, the Sox haven't had enough continuity in their lineup to expect an improved performance this time around. Besides, the veteran righty has looked much better since returning in 2024 and has an elite bullpen backing him up. Cleveland's pen sports a 2.11 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with the most Ks and fewest HR allowed. The Guardians will string together enough hits against Boston's group of relievers to outlast them at home. They rank fifth in hits, sixth in total bases, and ninth in stolen bases per game this year. They're crushing lefty pitchers (.304/.365/.469/.834) and have performed well under the lights (.267/.333/.434/.767), as well. 16-6 both straight-up and against the spread.
PICK MADE ON 4/24/2024 AT 9:15 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 9:19 PM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Twins have won three of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 12 runs in their last three home games. They will play well offensively in this game because Crochet has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up nine runs in his two road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Twins in this game. The White Sox have lost five of their last six road games. They aren’t playing well offensively and scored only seven runs in their last four games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Ryan has done a good job on the mound for the Twins, giving up 11 runs in four starts. He gave up six runs in three starts against the White Sox, and with Minnesota having the fourth-best bullpen in the league, they won’t have trouble keeping Chicago’s offense in check.
PICK MADE ON 4/24/2024 AT 8:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 10:26 PM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
9:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
There wasn’t a whole lot to write home about offensively in Game 1 for either side. Both teams shot below 45% from the field and under 33% from beyond the arc. There has to be some positive regression for both teams in this contest but the fact remains that New Orleans is going to have to control the glass as they did in Game 1 to keep them in the mix. Oklahoma City has the best player on the floor with Gilgeous-Alexander and if their youth shakes off the rough shooting night in the opening game of the series, they should take the victory at home. With that said, expect the Pelicans to keep it close and cover the line. Straight up, the Thunder are the call but getting this many points after hanging tough in the opener, take the Pelicans with the points.
PICK MADE ON 4/24/2024 AT 9:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 12:29 AM EST
10 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 24, 2024
10:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Oilers controlled Game One and I see them dominating this game on both ends of the ice. The Oilers, who averaged 3.56 goals per game this season, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers also look to limit the Kings' offense with Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread with a strong performance on their home ice to take a commanding 2-0 series lead.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 8:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/25/2024 AT 3:10 AM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
7:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Oakland has been playing much better since its 1-7 start to the season. It gutted out a clutch win on Monday with just four hits, holding New York scoreless with zero extra-base hits. Now, it turns to Blackburn, who has been rock solid in 2024 and has fared well against the Yankees in the past. Plus, the Yankees are slashing just .227/.335/.351/.686 at home and really need Aaron Judge (.174 BA and 31 Ks in 86 ABs) to break out of his slump soon. With Stroman on the bump, I like Oakland's odds of at least keeping the final score close. The Yankees' starter got off to a solid start but wasn't as sharp in his last two appearances, putting eight runners on base in each outing. He gave up a home run in each of these starts and fanned just two Blue Jays in his last appearance. The A's may not be the most intimidating offense, but they're playing with some confidence. As long as Blackburn can give his team six innings of quality pitching, I like the value of a bet on the A's.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 9:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 9:52 PM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Panthers look to take a commanding series lead but the Lightning look to bounce back and take over this game from the first period. The Lightning, who averaged 3.51 goals per game this season, should create plenty of scoring chances with Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning should limit the Panthers' offense with Victor Hedman and Mathew Dumba stepping up at the blue line and cutting off angels to the net on the rush while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game to even up the series.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 11:11 PM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Colorado offense has stalled out, and will have a tough time keeping up with San Diego's offense in this one. The Rockies have only generated four runs over the past three games combined, and are taking on the Padres who are in the top ten in runs scored, home runs and batting average as a team. It is a landslide in almost all statistical categories, the Padres have outscored the Rockies 118-80 this season, with ten more home runs, and a much lower ERA. The Rockies have the worst ERA in all of baseball at 5.88, as the thin Denver air is hurting them more than it helps. Colorado's starter Feltner has an ERA over 5, and will struggle to get out of innings against Tatis, Machado and company. Michael King has been far better on the mound, even in his only loss he struck out ten batters and only allowed two hits. San Diego will cruise an an easy victory here.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 9:11 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 11:46 PM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Indiana's offense rarely gets held under 110 points, let alone 100. Game one was a welcome to the postseason for them, but they should be the same team that haunted the Bucks all regular season. As for Milwaukee, their offense's inability to score 110 points again is concerning. In a matchup that features two heavily offensive-minded squads, the Pacers are more trustworthy right now. Milwaukee can't take advantage of arguably Indiana's greatest defensive weakness, rebounding. Expect the Pacers to bounce back with a win.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 10:04 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 11:29 PM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
9:38 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
These teams are trending in opposite directions, and the same could be said for the starting pitchers. The Orioles are hot, they have won six of their last seven games, and lead the major leagues in home runs with 33 home runs. They have four more home runs than the team in second place, the Red Sox. The Orioles generate runs at a high level, they rank 5th in the majors in run production. The Angels have not fared so well, they have lost four straight, including getting swept by the Reds. The Angels are only 20th in run production, and have not been putting up the same numbers as Baltimore. The Orioles will start Rodriguez here, they are 4-0 in his starts. In the other dugout, the Angels are starting Canning, and they are 0-4 in his starts. There pitching stats gives a big edge to the Orioles, as Rodriguez has 11 more strikeouts, has given up two fewer home runs, and has a much better ERA at 2.64, while Cannings is 8.05.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 9:05 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 12:48 AM EST
11 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 23, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Avalanche look to even up the series but the Jets look to step up at home and control this game. The Jets, who averaged 3.16 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Kyle Connor, Adam Lowry, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allowed only 2.41 goals per game, should limit the Avalanche offense with Dylan DeMelo, Josh Morrissey, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game to take a commanding series lead.
PICK MADE ON 4/23/2024 AT 8:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/24/2024 AT 12:31 AM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
I'm going to lean on the Bruins again in game two. The goalie change should benefit a Bruins team that has stuck by the platoon goalie system in each of the last two regular seasons and has the most points in the NHL in that time. Ullmark, the defending Vezina Trophy winner, is certainly not a step down from Swayman and may benefit from actually watching the action in game one and seeing Swayman in action. The Bruins let up more shots than they are used to giving up in game one but some of that may be due to the desperation of the Leafs in the latter stages of the game after falling behind. The Bruins, as is their strength, took fewer shots overall but more quality shots. Leafs' goalie Samsonov is far from elite and did give up a couple of easy goals in this game. The Leafs will not win many if any, games if they score under three goals in this series. The Bruins should be able to once again control the pace, get ahead early, and dominate the neutral zone to pick up a 2-0 lead in this series.
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 8:40 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/22/2024 AT 10:06 PM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 2.08 ERA) will take the mound to open the series. In seven career starts against the Royals, Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 6.37 ERA, earning the lone win on April 4, 2023, while allowing a run on three hits over five innings. Hunter Renfroe has a home run among three hits in five at-bats against Kikuchi. Right-hander Brady Singer (2-0, 1.54 ERA) will start for Kansas City today. Singer is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays, having won the most recent outing on April 3, 2023, while allowing a run on two hits in five innings. Varsho has a home run in five at-bats against Singer. The Royals have won all four of Singer's 2024 starts as he has allowed no more than two runs in any outing. All four runs allowed over 23 1/3 innings scored on homers. Singer's .163 opponent batting average ranks third in the American League. The development of a split-change has helped him induce more weak contact.
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 9:10 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/22/2024 AT 10:38 PM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Rockies have not been winning many games this season, and they are not going to win games in back to back days, especially while taking on San Diego. The Padres have far more offensive firepower, they have big name stars in Tatis and Machado, as well as up and comers who have been producing in Profar and Merrill. The pitching edge goes to San Diego here, Cease has 27 strikeouts to just 11 walks while giving up only one home run, while Gomber only has 18 strikeouts and has given up four home runs in the same amount of starts. Even with their recent struggles, the Padres are still sixth in the majors in home runs. and the Rockies are dead last in team ERA at 6.06. San Diego gets back on track and opens up this series with a big win.
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 9:22 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/22/2024 AT 11:10 PM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
9:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Stars have won seven of their last eight home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than three goals per game at home. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. The Golden Knights are good at killing penalties, but they’ve struggled defensively, giving up 16 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Stars in this game. The Golden Knights have lost three straight road games and four of their last six road games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only eight goals in their last three road games. They’ve done a better job on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars have killed over 80 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only five goals in their last three home games, so expect them to keep Vegas’ offense in check. Go with Dallas to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 8:43 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 12:31 AM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
9:38 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Grayson Rodriguez bullied the Angels in his season debut on March 30. He punched out nine across six frames while giving up just an earned run on four hits and a walk. Since then, Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs in each of his next three starts. On the other side, Reid Detmers met the O’s on the last day of March and fanned seven across five innings. He emerged victorious, allowing one earned run on two hits and three walks. Detmers has been outstanding so far this season, and Rodriguez has been nothing short of spectacular, too. I’m backing the Orioles to come out on top because of their offense. Baltimore has been killing the southpaws over the last ten days, posting a ridiculous 259 wRC+ in 76 plate appearances (.444/.474/.750 triple-slash).
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 9:13 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 12:34 AM EST
12 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 22, 2024
10:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Los Angeles Lakers needed to beat the Pelicans in the play-in round just to get to this series. They were outmatched in game one. The Lakers struggled against the Nuggets this season, dropping all three meetings. These were not close games. All three defeats were by eight or more points and they dropped game one by 11 points. These combatants met in the conference finals last year with the Nuggets earning the dominating sweep. Denver has now beaten the Lakers in each of the last nine meetings. The Lakers rely on the scoring to win games but Denver has the better offensive rating and is the superior defensive squad by a big margin. Anthony Davis is not going to have his usual success considering he is up against Nikola Jokic. Davis only averaged nine boards against the Nuggets this season. Jokic averaged 29 points against the Lakers and scored 32 points in game one.
PICK MADE ON 4/22/2024 AT 8:37 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/23/2024 AT 12:48 AM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
12:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The offense was great but the defense led the Panthers all season, allowing only 2.41 goals per game. Gustav Forsling and Niko Mikkola combined for 12.5 defensive point shares and 226 blocked shots while Aaron Ekblad, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and Dmitry Kulikov combined for 12.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky put together a remarkable season with a .915 save percentage and a 2.37 goals-against average on 1584 shots with 18.1 goals saved above average.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:27 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 3:42 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
1:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Philadelphia will hand the ball to right-hander Aaron Nola (2-1, 3.47 ERA), who will have a tough act to follow after Zach Wheeler flirted with a no-hitter on Saturday. Against the Rockies last Monday, Nola gave up four hits and one run with nine strikeouts and one walk over 7 1/3 innings. He did not factor into the decision as the Phillies won 2-1 in 10 innings. The White Sox will turn to right-hander Nick Nastrini (0-1, 3.60 ERA) on the mound. Nola is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one career start against the White Sox. Despite scoring five runs in the ninth inning Saturday, the White Sox still fell to 3-17 for the worst 20-game start in franchise history.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:36 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 4:30 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
1:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
MLB Free Pick - Tampa Bay at NYY Although they are 14-7 in their first 21 games, the Yankees are 2-4 in their past six games. During that span, New York had a four-run ninth in Wednesday's 6-4 victory at Toronto, then put together a five-run seventh on Friday. Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-1, 2.74 ERA), who has completed six innings in three of his first four starts of the season, concludes the series for the Rays. Civale last pitched on Tuesday, when he took a no-decision after allowing three runs on five hits in six innings of Tampa Bay's 7-6 win over the Los Angeles Angels. Civale was acquired from the Cleveland Guardians ahead of last season's trade deadline. Yankee starter, Right-hander Luis Gil (0-1, 3.86) hopes he can display better command of the strike zone when he makes his 11th career start on Sunday. Gil has walked 14 in 14 innings across his first three outings. He issued seven free passes in five innings on Monday, also allowing three runs and three hits while taking a loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Michael has been SCORCHING HOT with his selections, making his $100 per Unit Clients OVER $3,500! Don't miss all off his WINNERS today!
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 9:44 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 4:48 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
1:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Stripling hasn’t earned a win in the majors since the 2022 campaign as he was 0-5 with the Giants last season ahead of being 0-4 this year. The A’s have hung tough early on this season and have been better than expected in the early going. Cleveland got the win in the opening game of this series as they were solid with runners in scoring position, going four of seven in those situations. The Guardians have had a lot of success in the early going this season and if Bibee can throw more strikes than he has in the early going, Cleveland should be in good shape here. Look for the Guardians to earn the victory in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 4:34 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Tigers have won two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three games. They will play well offensively in this game because Varland hasn’t looked good on the mound for the Twins, giving up 15 runs in three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Tigers and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Twins have lost six of their last eight games. They have struggled offensively and scored nine runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Mize has been solid on the mound, giving up seven runs in three starts. He gave up five runs in two road starts and with Detroit having the best bullpen in the league, they will keep Minnesota’s offense in check. Go with Detroit to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:56 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 5:21 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
3:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Not having Leonard is a massive blow to the Clippers and without their top defender, it means they'll have issues slowing down the Doncic-Irving combination. Adding in that Harden is probable but battling an injury, means they could be without another key scorer too. Dallas has leaned heavily on the three-point shot, which translates well to the road and against the Clippers, who have taken a back seat on the defensive end. Before the back-to-back losses to end the season, Dallas had covered the spread in seven of their previous eight games, as they return to that trend to kickoff the playoffs.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:20 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 6:40 PM EST
13 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 21, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
It says a lot that the team with the higher seed and home-court advantage is the underdog in this one. Indiana had their number all season long. Also, Giannis Antetokounmpo, the best player in this series for either team, is unlikely to suit up for the Bucks due to a calf injury. Milwaukee's main issue is that they can't exploit Indiana's weak defensive rebounding. The Pacers' offense is too explosive and efficient to let those opportunities slip. That's without accounting for the fact that the Bucks' defense isn't much better. Take Indiana to beat the tight spread in game one.
PICK MADE ON 4/21/2024 AT 8:22 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 9:51 PM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
1:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
MLB Free Pick - Tampa Bay at NYY Zach Eflin (1-2, 4.63 ERA), who has alternated rocky and effective outings, goes for the Rays. He is coming off consecutive starts against the Los Angeles Angels with not-so-good and then good results. He allowed five runs on nine hits in five innings on April 8, and then surrendered six hits in 6 1/3 scoreless innings when he took a no-decision on Monday. Lefty Nestor Cortes (1-1, 4.50), who is coming off his best and his shortest performances of the season, goes for the Yankees. He allowed two hits in eight innings of a 7-0 win over the visiting Miami Marlins on April 8. Cortes Jr. is 12-2 with a 3.13 ERA, a 1.033 WHIP, 60 walks and 217 strikeouts over 210 innings over 51 career appearances, 30 starts, at Yankee Stadium.
PICK MADE ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:39 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 4:02 PM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
2:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Chicago will turn to right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 2.16 ERA) for the opener of the twin bill. Assad's latest start was also against Seattle, and he came away with a victory after allowing two runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings on Sunday. Assad has never faced Miami in his career. Going up against a pair of pitchers with sub-2.20 ERAs could pose a challenge for the Marlins, who fell to 4-16 on the season with an 8-3 loss to the Cubs on Friday. Miami totaled six hits in the setback, with three of them coming in the ninth inning. Southpaw Jesus Luzardo (0-2, 7.65 ERA) will attempt to keep Chicago at bay in Game 1 of the Saturday doubleheader. Luzardo escaped with a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday despite surrendering five runs and seven hits in five innings.
PICK MADE ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:13 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/21/2024 AT 9:06 AM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
4:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Diamondbacks’ starter Zac Gallen has been dominant, allowing zero or one run in three of his four outings this season. He issued six scoreless innings against the Cardinals in his previous outing. The Diamondbacks have won in three of his four starts. Giants’ starter Kyle Harrison is an inexperienced pitcher. He has given up 10 runs in his last 17 innings pitched.
PICK MADE ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:18 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 6:55 PM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
I fully expect this to be a long series between the two teams. I like the Knicks in game one with what should be a sizable chip on their collective shoulders. The Knicks are relatively healthy coming in with Anunoby back at full strength and their two-headed monster at center, Isaiah Hartenstein and Mitchell Robinson, both ready to go and lean on Embiid as often as possible. The Sixers did a great job at the deadline at adding pieces that will be critical to their playoff success. Hield and Lowry give the team more depth in the backcourt and more bodies to throw at Brunson, who is critical to the Knicks' success. Anunoby and Josh Hart should be able to minimize the effectiveness of the likes of Oubre, Tobias Harris, and even Nicolas Batum. The series may ultimately be decided by the winner of the matchup between Tyrese Maxey and Brunson. In game one, I like Brunson to prevail in that matchup and the Knicks others, like Hart and DiVincenzo, to do enough to tilt this game in their favor.
PICK MADE ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:21 PM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
7:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
In four starts, Texas pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has allowed eight runs in 24 ⅔ innings but five of those eight were in just one start, while holding three opponents to just three runs across 18 ⅔ innings. Atlanta starter Charlie Morgan has been roughed up in each of the last two outings, allowing 10 runs in 10 ⅔ innings while striking out 12 but walking six. Atlanta will play without second baseman Ozzie Albies, who thus far this season has five doubles, two home runs and 14 RBIs. Albies production at the plate will be missed in this series with Texas. Texas has won 16 of its last 20 played on the road and the Rangers have won four of the last six played on the road against Atlanta. The Braves have struggled a bit on the mound with a team ERA of 4.41 and WHIP of 1.33. Saturday's starting pitcher for Atlanta, Morton has an ERA that is even higher than the team average at 5.29.
PICK MADE ON 4/20/2024 AT 9:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 10:10 PM EST
14 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 20, 2024
8:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Who will start in net for the Bruins may not be as big a factor as it may appear. Both Swayman and Ullmark are above-average goalies and either gives the Bruins a significant edge over Toronto's #1 goalie Illya Samsonov. Samsonov finished 38th in the NHL in GAA this season and just 45th in save percentage this season. Both Ullmark and Swayman finished in the top 10 in save percentage this season. Toronto has a huge edge offensively but Boston will have the advantage of the return of Patrick Maroon from his back surgery near the end of the season. His size and strength could be significant for Boston, particularly in the defensive zone against the likes of Matthews and others. Both teams come into this game cold with the Leafs losing each of their last four games and the Bruins losing three of four. The Bruins do have the edge in the head-to-head matchup having gone 2-0-2 this season against the Leafs and remaining undefeated against them in their last seven meetings. The Bruins will need to protect the puck in their end and be physical with Matthews every chance they get. I'll take the Bruins here thanks to their ability to get quality shots on net, the Leafs struggles protecting the net, and the Bruins dominance in net.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 11:19 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 11:11 PM EST
15 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 19, 2024
2:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Right-hander Jameson Taillon will finally make his season debut today when the host Chicago Cubs open a four-game set with the Miami Marlins. After a strong season with the New York Yankees in 2022, Taillon took a step back with Chicago in 2023, going 8-10 with a 4.84 ERA. He went 4-6 with a 4.62 ERA at home, and only one of those wins came before the All-Star break. Activated from the 15-day injured list on Thursday, Taillon (back) is 2-0 with a glistening 0.54 ERA in three career starts against Miami. Left-hander A.J. Puk (0-3, 5.91 ERA) will try to slow down Busch and the Cubs when he makes his fourth start of the campaign today. Puk had never started a game prior to this season, and he hasn't had a smooth transition into his new role. In each of his first three outings this year, Puk has lasted no longer than 4 2/3 innings, a mark he reached on April 9 in a loss to the New York Yankees. Puk yielded two runs (one earned) on four hits and five walks against New York. Puk is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in four career relief appearances against Chicago.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 8:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/19/2024 AT 5:20 PM EST
15 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 19, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The surprising A's begin a three-game series and 10-game road trip when they face the Cleveland Guardians on Friday. Oakland begins the series on a hot streak after winning seven of its past 11 games, including a 6-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. The Athletics will send rookie right-hander Joe Boyle (1-2, 5.68 ERA) to the mound in the series opener. He allowed one run on five hits and one walk over five innings in a 3-1 loss to the Washington Nationals last Saturday. Boyle, 24, went 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three starts with the A's last season. He is making his first appearance against the Guardians. Cleveland will counter with right-hander Triston McKenzie (1-2, 6.23), who is looking to bounce back after giving up six runs (five earned) on four hits and six walks over four innings in an 8-2 loss to the New York Yankees last Saturday. The 26-year-old McKenzie has struck out five batters and issued 12 walks in his first three outings covering 13 innings.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 9:12 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/19/2024 AT 9:51 PM EST
15 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 19, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Heat stole a win from the Bulls' clutches in last year's Play-In Tournament and robbed the Bulls of a chance at the playoffs. This season, the Bulls look like a motivated team heading back to South Beach. The potential loss of Butler for the Heat is far more significant than the potential loss of Caruso for the Bulls. While Caruso has been a solid distributor and reliable defender, Butler is the heart and soul of the Heat. Butler nearly carried the Heat to a title last year and his ability to isolate greatly enhanced the play of the Bulls role players. The Bulls will have to lean on Bam Adebayo if Butler is unable to go. He averaged 22 points per game in three games against the Bulls this season. The Bulls have two players that can drive their offense in DeRozan and White. DeRozan averaged 22 points per game vs. the Heat this season and will certainly benefit if Butler is unable to go and defend him. White averaged over 20 points per game vs. the Heat and will either be covered by a banged-up Terry Rozier, who missed the Sixers' game with a sore neck, or possibly Herro, a defensive liability. Chicago would be more exposed without Caruso against a team that plays at a high-level offensively but the Heat are not that team, certainly not without Butler. The Bulls will avenge last year's loss and move on to face the Celtics this weekend.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 11:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/19/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
15 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 19, 2024
8:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
With former Brewers ace Corbin Burnes pitching for the Baltimore Orioles and Brandon Woodruff recovering from shoulder surgery, Freddy Peralta has emerged as Milwaukee's staff ace. Peralta (2-0, 2.55 ERA) has been up to the task while striking out 26 batters and walking two in 17 2/3 innings in three starts. He will face a Cardinals lineup that is failing to generate much offense. The Cardinals have scored three runs or fewer in five straight games and in 10 of their past 11. While Peralta has been on point for the Brewers, Kyle Gibson (1-2, 6.16 ERA) has struggled for the Cardinals since signing as a free agent. He has allowed five homers in 19 innings over his three starts. Gibson took the loss in his last start on Saturday. He allowed four runs on six hits -- including Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s three-run homer -- and three walks in six innings against the Diamondbacks. Gibson is 1-2 with a 5.44 ERA in eight career starts against the Brewers.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 9:02 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/19/2024 AT 11:41 PM EST
15 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 19, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
MLB Free Pick - Toronto at San Diego Coming off three straight series wins, San Diego will trot out No. 5 starter Matt Waldron (0-1, 3.14 ERA) to open this series. The knuckleballer is coming off a no-decision Saturday at the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing one run over five innings in the team's 5-2 loss. This will be the right-hander's first career appearance against Toronto. Toronto starts the trip with rookie Yariel Rodriguez (0-0, 2.45) scheduled to start. He made his big league debut Saturday in a 5-3 victory over Colorado, lasting 3 2/3 innings and 68 pitches. The right-hander gave up four hits and a run with two walks and six strikeouts. San Diego’s relievers have registered a strong 2.70 ERA and 2.78 FIP in the past ten days and 33.1 innings of work.
PICK MADE ON 4/19/2024 AT 10:02 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/20/2024 AT 12:49 AM EST
16 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 18, 2024
1:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
MLB Free Pick - Texas vs Detroit Kenta Maeda is on the hill for the Tigers here as he makes his fourth start of the season in this contest. He is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA, a 1.267 WHIP, five walks and 10 strikeouts over 15 innings of work on the year. Maeda didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came Saturday in the first game of a doubleheader at home against the Twins. Tigers went on to drop that one 11-5 in 12 innings. Maeda makes his sixth career appearance, fifth start, against the Rangers in this contest. Maeda is 2-4 with a 3.35 ERA, a 0.942 WHIP, nine walks and 49 strikeouts over 45.2 innings in eight career starts at Comerica Park.
PICK MADE ON 4/18/2024 AT 10:50 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/18/2024 AT 4:46 PM EST
16 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 18, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Seattle will face Wild veteran goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. The 39-year-old Fleury was set to become a free agent this offseason, with questions swirling around about his future in recent weeks. Fleury and the team put an end to those questions when the netminder signed a one-year, $2.5 million extension for the 2024-25 season on Wednesday. Fleury is 17-14-5 with a 2.98 goals-against average and a .895 save percentage in 39 games (35 starts) this season. He ranks second all-time with 561 career victories, and he is one of only four goaltenders to appear in at least 1,000 games. Fleury has faced the Kraken seven times in his career. He is 5-1-1 with a 1.98 GAA and a .935 save percentage in those contests. Seattle could turn to Joey Daccord (18-18-11, 2.45 GAA) or Philipp Grubauer (14-16-2, 2.85 GAA) in net. Daccord has faced Minnesota twice in his career. He is 0-2-0 with a 4.52 GAA and a .842 save percentage in those games. Grubauer has gone up against the Wild 17 times. He is 9-7-0 with a 2.95 GAA and a .894 save percentage. This is the third meeting between the teams this season. The Wild won the first two contests on the road -- a 3-0 win on Dec. 10 and a 5-2 victory on Feb. 24.
PICK MADE ON 4/18/2024 AT 8:10 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/18/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
16 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 18, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Cubs will have Jameson Taillon make his season debut on Thursday evening. Taillon was on the IL to begin the season. The veteran was outstanding two years ago but had a poor 2023 season, recording a weak 4.84 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP accompanied by an 8-10 record in 154.1 innings pitched. Taillon has dominated the Marlins in his career, holding them to only one run in 17 innings, equating to a minuscule 0.54 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He did not pitch against the Marlins last season.
PICK MADE ON 4/18/2024 AT 10:12 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/18/2024 AT 11:30 PM EST
16 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 18, 2024
9:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
I like the value of a bet on the Diamondbacks ML at roughly +150 odds. Webb hasn't been terrible, but he's put too many runners on base this season (17 in his last two starts combined). He isn't striking out a lot of batters, either (five or fewer Ks in all four starts). Arizona has plenty of offensive weapons and is averaging 5.7 runs per game. Given the Giants' struggles on offense, I don't expect Nelson to struggle much. San Francisco has scored three or fewer runs in eight of its last twelve games and is slashing .233/.307/.370/.677 vs. right-handed pitchers this season. Webb may be the bigger name, but I believe Nelson will hold his own. With early run support, he should last long enough to give his tired bullpen a rest. Besides, I'm not confident the Giants will have better luck against the D-Backs' pen. If anything, bettors should be wary of the home team's relief group (5.05 ERA).
PICK MADE ON 4/18/2024 AT 9:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/19/2024 AT 12:16 AM EST
17 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 17, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Royals are off to a great start this season and part of that success is due to the return to form of starting pitcher Singer. Singer has found his strikeout pitch again after struggling in 2023 with just 133 strikeouts. He is well ahead of that pace this year and looks like a top-two starter in the rotation. The Royals are hitting home runs at a fast pace already with 20 on the season and that doesn't bode well for White Sox starter Fedde. Fedde has already given up five home runs in just three starts this season. The White Sox, as a team, are hitting just .200 as team this season and have struck out 132 times as a team.
PICK MADE ON 4/17/2024 AT 8:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/18/2024 AT 10:08 AM EST
17 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 17, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Atlanta has won seven of the last 10 and 10 of the first 15 to start the season. Houston has lost five of the last seven and dating back to last season have lost 15 in the last 20 at home. At the plate, Atlanta is first in team batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, while third in runs scored. Houston is next to last in team ERA at 5.35 and 28th in batting average allowed (.265). Atlanta starting pitcher Max Fried is coming off a solid outing in which the left-hander gave up four hits and one run in 6 plus innings last Friday with Atlanta defeating Miami 8-1. Houston starting pitcher J.P. France is off to a slow start. Across three outings, the right-hander has allowed 14 runs in 15 plus innings while striking out 12 but walking seven. Houston has lost each of France’s three starts. As mentioned twice previously, Houston is playing without four starting pitchers from last season's starting rotation, due to injuries, which puts more pressure on both the starting rotation and bullpen.
PICK MADE ON 4/17/2024 AT 8:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/17/2024 AT 5:50 PM EST
17 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 17, 2024
3:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Toronto is scheduled to start struggling Kevin Gausman (0-2, 11.57 ERA) today against fellow right-hander and former Blue Jay Marcus Stroman (1-1, 2.12). Stroman is 0-0 with an 0.82 ERA in two career starts vs. Toronto. This will be the second time Stroman has pitched in Toronto since he was traded to the New York Mets during the 2019 season. He held the Blue Jays to one run over five innings with the Chicago Cubs on Aug. 30, 2022. Gausman is 10-8 with a 3.27 ERA in 32 career outings (26 starts) against the Yankees. He allowed six runs (five earned) over 1 1/3 innings in a 9-8 loss in New York on April 6. He followed that last Friday by permitting six runs on 10 hits over 3 2/3 frames to the Colorado Rockies in a 12-4 loss.
PICK MADE ON 4/17/2024 AT 8:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/17/2024 AT 6:40 PM EST
17 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 17, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
This is truly a fascinating first-round matchup that pits two of the best coaches in the NBA against one another. Few coaches understand how to navigate the playoffs and exploit mismatches better than Heat head coach Eric Spoelstra. On the other side of the court, Sixers head coach Nick Nurse is acutely aware of how to carefully navigate through the playoffs with an injured superstar, as he proved with Kawhi Leonard when the pair won a title with Toronto several seasons ago. With the coaching matchup even, this game will likely come down to talent. In that regard, I'm giving the edge to the Sixers in this one. Embiid is a rather large x-factor for the Heat to try to work around. He has a decided-size advantage over Adebayo in the paint and has looked extremely healthy since returning. The two teams split the season series this year at 2-2 but Embiid missed three of those games. He will force the Heat to either allow him to go one-on-one with Bam or double him which will free up an array of shooters the Sixers have at their disposal. As good as Jimmy Butler is in the playoffs, the Sixers are uniquely suited to at least give him problems with a ton of athletic twos and threes to put on him. Nurse understands that Embiid likely has only so many bullets in the gun for these playoffs and will likely play all out here to avoid having to play a second play-in game. The Heat have been there and done that having played two play-in games last year. The Sixers won't have to worry about that.
PICK MADE ON 4/17/2024 AT 8:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/17/2024 AT 10:07 PM EST
18 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 16, 2024
6:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Giants split their last four games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to pay well offensively in this game because they have crushed left-handed pitching this season and Weathers has been shaky on the mound, giving up six runs in three starts. He gave up three runs in his lone home start, and with Miami having the third-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Giants in this game. The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 13 runs in their last three home games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they haven’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Hicks has been brilliant on the mound this season, giving up three runs in three starts. He gave up one run in his lone start against the Marlins and will keep their offense in check. Go with San Francisco to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/16/2024 AT 8:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/16/2024 AT 9:52 PM EST
18 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 16, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
These teams are going in different directions after this game as the Senators are heading to the golf course with another disappointing campaign. Boston is heading to the postseason and looking to make a run. The Bruins are a solid 24-10-6 on home ice this season while Ottawa entered Monday 15-22-2 as the visiting team this season. Ottawa has mustered just six goals in the last four meetings with the Bruins and with nothing to play for here, it will be interesting to see what kind of performance we get from the visitors. Boston is the better team and will want to stay focused with the postseason looming. Give the advantage to the Bruins on home ice in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/16/2024 AT 8:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/16/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
18 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 16, 2024
7:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Lakers are only getting 1.5 points on the spread, if you are going to back LeBron here, the money line is the play. This will be the brightest lights of the season, as everyone will tune in to see who will advance in this Play-In Tournament game, and looking at the stars, only LeBron and AD have proven they can play on the biggest stage. Zion is having a strong finish to the year, and is finally healthy, but his game is still relatively one-dimensional, designed on attacking the rim and scoring in the paint. The Lakers are huge inside, Anthony Davis is one of the best post defenders in the league, and LeBron always has the opportunity to switch onto him late if needed. LeBron is more perimeter oriented, but he is three inches taller than Zion and still an elite defender when he wants to be. The Lakers have gone big in recent lineups, starting Hachimura, and bringing the athletic big Jaxson Hayes off the bench. The Lakers won three of four matchups against the Pelicans this season, and they cannot afford trying to dodge Denver and putting themselves in a must win next game. The Lakers get their spot in the playoffs in this one.
PICK MADE ON 4/16/2024 AT 9:04 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/16/2024 AT 10:41 PM EST
18 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 16, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Royals are off to a great start this season and part of that success is due to the return to form of starting pitcher Singer. Singer has found his strikeout pitch again after struggling in 2023 with just 133 strikeouts. He is well ahead of that pace this year and looks like a top-two starter in the rotation. The Royals are hitting home runs at a fast pace already with 20 on the season and that doesn't bode well for White Sox starter Fedde. Fedde has already given up five home runs in just three starts this season. The White Sox, as a team, are hitting just .200 as team this season and have struck out 132 times as a team. I like the Royals to roll to a comfortable win
PICK MADE ON 4/16/2024 AT 8:54 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/17/2024 AT 10:42 AM EST
18 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 16, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Oakland’s lineup is one of the worst in baseball. The current Athletics are only 10-for-43 with three home runs and four RBI against Lance Lynn. The A’s own an 85 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers in April, so it’s hard to trust them in this matchup. I cannot take the A’s even though their bullpen has been terrific so far this month. The Cardinals have a 98 wRC+ against the southpaws in April and are 4-for-11 with a home run and two RBI versus JP Sears. Their bullpen has registered a strong 2.23 ERA and 2.63 FIP so far this month (40.1 innings pitched), so I’m backing the Cards to come out on top.
PICK MADE ON 4/16/2024 AT 8:46 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/17/2024 AT 12:34 AM EST
19 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 15, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
This one is a game that has meaning for both teams, even with Boston locked into a postseason berth. The Bruins are still battling with the Panthers for the top spot in the Atlantic Division standings as they hold a single point advantage over Florida with a game in hand. Meanwhile, Washington is fighting for a playoff spot and it’s going to be a brawl over these final few days. The Capitals are a gritty team but you have to wonder if that six-game losing skid may have been too much for them to overcome. Boston is a veteran team with plenty of experience in big games. Look for the Bruins to go on the road and lock down the Atlantic Division crown by prevailing in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/15/2024 AT 9:26 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/15/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
19 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 15, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back behind resurrected right-hander Joe Ross when they host the San Diego Padres today in the opener of a short three-game homestand. Ross (1-0, 1.80 ERA), who missed most of the last two seasons after a second Tommy John surgery, makes his third start for Milwaukee. Right-hander Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.87), who gave up one hit over eight innings the last time he faced the Brewers, gets the nod for the Padres. Musgrove was charged with four runs on five hits in four innings in his most recent start, a 5-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. He allowed a leadoff homer in the fifth then left three batters later with the bases loaded. Reliever Stephen Kolek then surrendered a grand slam to the first batter he faced. Musgrove is 1-3 with a 4.04 ERA in eight career starts vs. Milwaukee.
PICK MADE ON 4/15/2024 AT 8:37 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/15/2024 AT 10:54 PM EST
19 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 15, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The White Sox will send right-hander Nick Nastrini to make his major league debut today. Nastrini, 24, was acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers ahead of last year's trade deadline for right-handers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly. Nastrini has made two starts at Triple-A Charlotte, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA. He made five appearances (three starts) in spring training this year, going 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA. The Royals will send right-hander Seth Lugo (2-0, 1.45 ERA), who will be making his fourth start of the season. In his most recent start last Wednesday night against the Houston Astros, Lugo earned his second win of the year, allowing two runs on seven hits in six innings, striking out two. Lugo, who is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his career against Chicago, will be making his second career start (third appearance) against the White Sox. Lugo allowed one run on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings, striking out three and walking two against the White Sox on April 4 to earn his first win with Kansas City.
PICK MADE ON 4/15/2024 AT 8:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/15/2024 AT 10:08 PM EST
19 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 15, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Sonny Gray's first start as a Cardinal was strong, and he'll return home as a pitcher that limits damage consistently. Behind him is a solid bullpen. Against an Athletics offense that is still among MLB's worst, expect St. Louis' pitching to keep Oakland in check. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will get hits off Ross Stripling, as his H/9 (13.0) is the reason that Oakland keeps losing his starts. St. Louis will get runs early and often. They should parlay that into a multi-run victory on the road.
PICK MADE ON 4/15/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/16/2024 AT 12:17 AM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
1:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Blues (42-33-5, 89 points) hope to use this season's strong finish as a springboard to better things in 2024-25. They have gone 10-4-2 in their past 16 games despite falling 5-2 to the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday. Today marks the third and final meeting between the teams this season. The Blues are 2-0 against the Kraken.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 9:03 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 3:59 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
1:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Bucks feel confident in securing the two seed in the Eastern Conference race and with that, they could sit out a few players. Giannis has already been ruled out and that alone could be enough to take them out of a rhythm on both ends. For Orlando, they expect to have a near full complement of players and it'll be great for them to grab a win and finish the season strong. With a win against the Bucks already under their belts, they'll be confident in being able to replicate that in this one. Orlando has covered the spread in two of three meetings this season between these two, as they make it a third time in this one.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 4:02 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
1:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Brewers have been road warriors this season. They have won three straight road games and six of their last seven overall. They are playing well offensively and scored 27 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they feasted on right-handed pitching this season and they’re batting over .290 against righties. Even though Corbin has pitched well this season, he hasn't been as sharp at home, and with Baltimore’s bullpen struggling in recent games, they will have a hard time slowing down the Brewers in this game. The Orioles have lost two of their last three home games. They are struggling offensively, scoring only six runs in their last three home games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Rea has done a good job on the mound for the Brewers, giving up three runs in two starts. He didn’t give up a run in his lone start against the Orioles last season and will keep their offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:56 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 4:47 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
1:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
This Marlins squad has been miserable at home. Not only are they winless, but all but one of those defeats came by multiple runs. Matching up a struggling Jesus Luzardo, who has started three losses, against an Atlanta offense that's arguably MLB's best, is a nightmare matchup. Charlie Morton's lone road start of 2024 was what every team wants, scoreless. The Braves' bullpen has had issues, but Miami's offense is among MLB's weakest. This is another game where they can succeed.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 4:47 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Chicago isn't going anywhere, but Cincinnati could be on the verge of a breakout season. The Reds have power, potential, and pitching — the White Sox have none of those things. The visitors will jump on Soroka early, giving Ashcraft the run support necessary to turn in a quality start. The Reds' SP hasn't been lights out, but he has fanned 11 batters in 11.1 IP and held the Phillies to two earned runs in his season debut. After facing Philadelphia and Milwaukee, he should find it much easier to work through the Sox lineup.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:51 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 5:37 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
3:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Rockets have won two of their last three games and nine of their last 11 road games. They are playing well offensively and scored more than 118 points per game in their last three games. They’ve also done a good job at the charity stripe, making over 83 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and grab more than 12 offensive rebounds per game on the road, which will lead to extra-scoring chances. They also cut down their turnovers in recent games and won’t give the Clippers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Clippers have struggled defensively, giving up more than 112 points per game at home, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Rockets in this game. The Clippers have won four of their last six games, but they dropped their last two home games. They’re not playing well offensively and scored less than 110 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Rockets and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Rockets, who average more than seven steals per game. Even though the Rockets have struggled defensively, they played better in their last three games and they will be facing Los Angeles’ reserves in this game, so expect them to keep the Clippers’ offense in check. Go with Houston to cover the spread.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:44 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 5:54 PM EST
20 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 14, 2024
3:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
There are several game-time decisions on both squads with key players that could affect the outcome of this game. However, given that this is the last game of the season, don't be surprised if the vast majority of those players miss this game. Either way, the best player on the floor for both teams, Victor Wembanyama, is available for the Spurs and that will make all the difference. The odds-on favorite to win the Rookie of the Year award has been brilliant down the stretch on both ends of the floor. He's dominated the paint on defense and taken on more of a scoring role offensively. The Spurs come in with a lot of momentum after their upset win over the Nuggets on Friday night and I expect them to end on a high note here.
PICK MADE ON 4/14/2024 AT 8:46 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/14/2024 AT 5:54 PM EST
21 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 13, 2024
4:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Philadelphia has fared much better against left-handed pitchers (.277 BA/.358 OBP/.361 SLG/.719 OPS) than right-handers this season (.208/.283/.350/.633), and while Gonzales has pitched well in his first two outings, his track record isn't reliable. He has been home run-prone during his career, allowing 29 long balls in 2021 and 30 in 2022. The home team's powerful lineup will inflict damage on the lefty hurler's ERA early in tomorrow's game, building a lead for Turnbull. Philly's pen has performed poorly this season, but with a comfortable lead, Turnbull should last long enough to take pressure off of it.
PICK MADE ON 4/13/2024 AT 9:30 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/13/2024 AT 7:45 PM EST
21 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 13, 2024
4:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Tampa Bay is 4-1 in the last five games, while San Francisco is 3-7 in the last 10 games, and 2-4 in the last six in the six versus Tampa Bay. San Francisco has lost nine of the last 12 in April. Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot was hit hard in his first outing, but bounced back strong last time out when holding Colorado, at Coors Field, to three hits and no runs in six innings. Logan Webb has allowed nine runs in 19 ⅔ innings for an ERA of nearly 5.00. San Francisco’s team ERA is 27th at 5.06 and is allowing teams to average .262 at the plate. Tampa Bay’s Isaac Paredes is off to a strong start with four home runs and 10 RBIs.
PICK MADE ON 4/13/2024 AT 9:28 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/13/2024 AT 6:56 PM EST
21 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 13, 2024
6:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Arizona starter Ryne Nelson has an 8.33 ERA. The Diamondbacks have lost five of the last seven, five of the last six at home versus St Louis and Arizona is 2-4 in its last six against an opponent from the National League. St Louis is 14-6 in the last 20 versus Arizona and 5-1 in the last six on the road against the Diamondbacks. St. Louis is a solid 3.99 in team ERA. Arizona is allowing opponents to hit .246 and before winning two straight had lost five straight, allowing five runs or more in each of the five losses. Arizona is 25th in errors per game, committing an average of 0.85.
PICK MADE ON 4/13/2024 AT 9:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/13/2024 AT 10:56 PM EST
21 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 13, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Bruins have won five of their last seven games and three straight road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 10 goals in their last three road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Penguins are great at killing penalties, but their defense is a liability, with the team giving up 11 goals in their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bruins in this game. The Penguins have won five of their last six games. They are paying well offensively, scoring 14 goals in their last three home games. They haven’t been as good on special teams, converting less than 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Bruins have killed over 82 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only three goals in their last three road games, so expect them to keep Pittsburgh’s offense in check. Go with Boston to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/13/2024 AT 9:11 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/13/2024 AT 11:11 PM EST
22 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 12, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Royals have won seven straight games. They’ve been on a roll offensively and scored 28 runs in their last three games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers this season and Severino struggled in his first home start, giving up six runs in the loss to Milwaukee. Even though he is 3-1 against the Royals, he didn’t pitch well in recent starts against them, giving up 13 runs in his last three starts against Kansas City, so expect him to have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Mets have won five of their last seven games. They have also played well offensively, scoring 29 runs in their last three games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they’re batting under .200 against right-handers and Wacha has looked good on the mound for the Royals, giving up only three runs in two starts. He is 5-3 against the Mets and gave up 10 runs in his last four starts against them. With Kansas City’s bullpen playing well at the moment, they won’t have a hard time keeping New York’s offense in check. Go with Kansas City to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/12/2024 AT 8:17 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/12/2024 AT 10:09 PM EST
22 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 12, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Cincinnati is not off to the best start but it's playing one of the weakest teams in baseball, as the White Sox have been decimated by injuries. Chicago is without Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, Luis Robert and Max Stassi, who all contribute considerably at the plate. The loss of several players for Chicago has resulted in the White Sox being 25th in slugging percentage, 26th in team batting average and 29th in runs scored, averaging 2.42 runs per game. Chicago has lost 12 of its last 14. Cincinnati starting pitcher Andrew Abboitt has had two solid outings allowing 10 hits and five runs in 10 ⅓ innings. In contrast, Chicago starting pitcher Chris Flexen has allowed seven earned runs in 10 ⅔ innings resulting in losses to Atlanta and Kansas City. Flexen has a 5.91 ERA.
PICK MADE ON 4/12/2024 AT 8:20 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/12/2024 AT 10:37 PM EST
22 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 12, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
With the two-seed still within arm's reach, New York will play spirited basketball in front of its home crowd on Friday. The Knickerbockers are getting right just in time for the NBA playoffs, as the return of OG Anunoby has cemented their status as an elite Eastern Conference team. In the last matchup with the Nets, NY's defense was the story. Brooklyn scored just 93 points, as it shot 12-for-35 from three-point range and was outscored 48-35 in the paint. The Nets also committed 15 turnovers and gave up 18 fast break points. Bettors can expect more of the same on Friday at MSG, as New York's interior defense is tough (6th in opponent rim FG%) and Brooklyn struggles from the mid-range (27th in mid-range FG%), which puts too much pressure on it to hit three-pointers. The Knicks will win the battle for NYC, securing a double-digit victory tonight at The Mecca!
PICK MADE ON 4/12/2024 AT 8:31 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/12/2024 AT 10:24 PM EST
23 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 11, 2024
1:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Brewers will send out right-hander Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.09 ERA) on Thursday for his third start of the season. Milwaukee's Opening Day starter received a no-decision last Friday in the Brewers' 6-5 win over the Seattle Mariners. He allowed three runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out seven and walking one. Peralta is 5-2 with a 2.88 ERA in 19 career games (13 starts) against Cincinnati. He went 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts covering 12 innings vs. the Reds last season. In nine career games (eight starts) at Cincinnati, Peralta is 3-1 with a 2.85 ERA. The Reds will counter with right-hander Nick Martinez (0-0, 7.20 ERA), who is also making his third start of 2024. Martinez is 0-0 with a 4.96 ERA in two career starts and two relief appearances against Milwaukee. In his latest outing, Saturday against the New York Mets, Martinez was charged with five runs on eight hits over five innings before Cincinnati rallied for a 9-6 win.
PICK MADE ON 4/11/2024 AT 8:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/12/2024 AT 9:06 AM EST
23 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 11, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Royals have momentum after a solid start to 2024 and Singer has been impressive in his first two outings. The Astros aren't consistently producing at the plate and have been held to three or fewer runs in four of their last five games (prior to Wednesday's action). These Astros hitters haven't seen Singer since the 2022 season. Considering Brown's recent struggles, I feel confident the wrong team is favored. He may have better stuff tomorrow, but I'm not betting on that outcome. If the Royals get out to an early lead, the Astros will be leaving town with another series loss.
PICK MADE ON 4/11/2024 AT 8:46 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/11/2024 AT 5:21 PM EST
23 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 11, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Celtics do not have any motivation to win this game tonight. While the Knicks are fighting for the best possible spot in the playoff standings, Boston is already locked into the #1 spot in the Eastern Conference. With that in mind, the current designation of Porzingis and Horford as game-time decisions seems to be a bit translucent. You can almost guarantee that both will again be absent for this game given the intensity the Knicks will bring to this game and the Celtics not wanting to risk injury to their two big men. The Knicks' Brunson is playing himself into a likely top-five MVP finish with his play and he will do his best here to will the Knicks to win. I like the Knicks to bring the intensity and purpose of a team still fighting for the best seed and the Celtics being unable or even unwilling to match that intensity in a meaningless game for them.
PICK MADE ON 4/11/2024 AT 9:31 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/11/2024 AT 10:39 PM EST
23 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 11, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Both teams are entrenched in the postseason field in the Western Conference. Dallas owns the top spot in the Central Division while Winnipeg is dueling with the Avalanche to try and lock down home ice advantage in what will be a highly entertaining first-round series. The Stars have been rock solid at home, posting a 24-10-4 mark this season, though the Jets are one of the league’s elite road teams (23-13-3) so they won’t be rattled playing in front of a raucous crowd. Dallas has had the upper hand in this series of late, earning points in nine of the last 10 meetings. Look for the Stars to sweep the season series by prevailing in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/11/2024 AT 9:01 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/11/2024 AT 10:55 PM EST
23 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 11, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
They say it is hard to beat the same team three times in a season. Well, how does that expression change when a team has already beaten them four times in a row, and are going for their fifth? It seems the Pelicans just have Sacramento's number. De'Aaron Fox averages 8 points under his average against New Orleans this season, as he is at 26 per game on the season, but only averages 18 against the Pelicans. The Pelicans also have the most to play for in this game, as they have the most realistic chance to stay in the six-seed with a win, while Sacramento would need many other results to fall their way to get up to 6th. Sacramento has not been the same team without Huerter and Monk, as they have lost three of their last four. Malik Monk was important to the Kings at crunchtime, and leaves Fox alone as the sole shot creator on the perimeter. Zion is healthy and is starting to show that potential he flashed years ago, and CJ McCollum is on fire, scoring at least 29 in his past four games.
PICK MADE ON 4/11/2024 AT 9:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/12/2024 AT 12:29 AM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
1:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Nola (1-1, 5.40 ERA) allowed seven runs, six earned, in 4 1/3 innings during a 12-4 loss to the Atlanta Braves on March 30. He rebounded as the Phillies blanked the host Washington Nationals 4-0 on Friday. Nola walked four batters in the blustery conditions but gave up only two hits over 5 2/3 innings. Nola went 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA in two starts against the Cardinals last season. In his career, he is 6-3 with a 2.50 ERA in 11 starts vs. St. Louis. Lance Lynn (0-0, 4.15 ERA) will make his third start of the season for the Cardinals. He threw four scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers before a Southern California rainstorm cut short his March 30 start. In his second outing, Lynn served up three home runs to the Miami Marlins in 4 2/3 innings on Thursday, though the Cardinals won 8-5. He allowed four runs on eight hits in that contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 7:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 5:03 PM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Orioles jumped all over Boston's pitching yesterday, scoring seven runs on 13 hits. They were 8-for-15 with runners in scoring position. The Red Sox scored one run in the bottom of the first but were held scoreless the rest of the afternoon, managing just two hits against SP Corbin Burnes and the O's bullpen. I'm anticipating a better performance by the home team today against Irvin, who didn't fare well against Boston last season, as 1B Triston Casas hit a three-run homer and 3B Rafael Devers went 2-for-4. The Orioles starter put nine runners on base in his 2024 debut versus the Royals, and I expect Boston to take advantage of these opportunities after yesterday's dud. Crawford is expected to go for Boston, which should be good news for Sox fans. He has allowed just five hits with 12 Ks in 10.2 combined innings this season and held Baltimore scoreless in his lone appearance against them last year (one hit with seven Ks in 6.0 IP on Sept. 30). He and the Red Sox bullpen (fourth in ERA and fifth in strikeouts) should perform well enough to quiet the Orioles' bats.
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 9:06 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 10:24 PM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
N/A
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 9:06 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 10:41 PM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Miami may have sent a message by updating their injury report right before the Atlanta game. Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Kevin Love and Nikola Jovic were all added for minor injuries that were not previously listed. It is possible Miami will begin to prepare for the playoffs, and not put their best lineups on the floor for the final games. Miami cannot fall to the 9th spot, losses do not necessarily hurt them, and it is very unlikely they can jump all the way to six. The injury report may might be the first step in resting some of their stars down the stretch. Dallas is in the fifth spot in the West, but could fall to seventh with a disastrous finish. Dallas needs to hold on to their top six spot to ensure they are not in the Play-In Tournament. Matchup wise, Doncic and Irving are both healthy and their games have complimented each other recently. Dallas has ironed out their lineup with the two stars and role players that know their jobs every night. Dallas needs this one more and will cover the spread in Miami.
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 9:25 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 10:22 PM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Tonight,we focus on Milwaukee, who comes in off a revenge battle on this court against Boston. That sets the table as the Bucks bring a 2-5 ATS ledger into this contest since the new year began in games when coming off a same-season revenger. It meshes with Milwaukee’s 1-5-1 ATS mark in home games after battling Boston. Tie it into Orlando’s Friday, sterling 46-26 ATS overall mark in all games this season and we're on the Magic tonight.
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 9:21 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 10:40 PM EST
24 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 10, 2024
8:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Vegas Golden Knights will close their regular-season road schedule on Wednesday night when they face the host Edmonton Oilers for what could be a preview of a first-round playoff series in the Western Conference. It marks the final contest of a three-game road trip to forget for the defending Stanley Cup champions, who are chasing the Los Angeles Kings for third place in the Pacific Division and currently occupy the final wild-card spot in the West. Vegas (42-27-8, 92 points) started the trip by yielding six unanswered third-period goals in a 7-4 loss to the Arizona Coyotes on Friday, and it followed that up by blowing a 3-2, second-period lead in a 4-3 loss against the Vancouver Canucks on Monday. The potential good news for the Golden Knights is that they may not have to face reigning MVP Connor McDavid. McDavid, who is third in the league in points with 130 (31 goals, 99 assists), didn't practice on Tuesday because of a lower-body injury. However, the Oilers have a very deep team, with three other players (Draisaitl, Hyman, and Bouchard) ranked in the top 46 in points per game.
PICK MADE ON 4/10/2024 AT 9:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 11:43 PM EST
25 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 9, 2024
7:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
When looking at the offenses throughout the last few games, the Rangers are scoring 4.6 goals in their last five games while the Islanders are averaging 3.0 goals in their previous four games. The ability to score on the power play shows a massive difference as the Rangers are fourth in hockey with a 26.4 power play percentage while the Islanders are down at 20th with a 20.4 power play percentage thus far. All in all, go with the New York Rangers to win this game.
PICK MADE ON 4/9/2024 AT 9:05 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/9/2024 AT 10:24 PM EST
25 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 9, 2024
7:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Yankees destroyed Jesus Luzardo, as both Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe took the Marlins’ lefty deep. The Yankees should be fired up to stay hot against another southpaw in A.J. Puk. It’s hard to trust Puk, who served as Miami’s closer for most of the 2023 season. He’s been pretty bad over his first two showings in 2024. Furthermore, the Marlins bullpen holds an ugly 6.11 ERA, whereas the Yankees’ relievers have recorded a 2.88 ERA so far this season.
PICK MADE ON 4/9/2024 AT 11:19 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/9/2024 AT 10:22 PM EST
25 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 9, 2024
7:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Philadelphia has won seven of the last eight head-to-head versus St Louis and the Phillies have won four of the last five played on the road at Busch Stadium against the Cardinals. Although Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler is 0-1, the right-hander has pitched very well in two outings allowing just one run in 12 innings pitched with 15 strikeouts and one walk. St Louis starting pitcher Sonny Gray will be making his season debut and will likely not pitch more than three to four innings. St Louis has struggled at the plate thus far with a team batting average of .222 and a .343 slugging percentage. The Cardinals OPS is just .643. Philadelphia is not that much better at this point, but the Phillies are higher in each of the three previous categories with a .229 team batting average, .358 slugging percentage and .675 OPS.
PICK MADE ON 4/9/2024 AT 7:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/9/2024 AT 10:54 PM EST
25 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 9, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
NBA Game of the Week Phoenix will be anxious to avenge a 138-111 beatdown at L.A. in January, knowing they are 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS in games when avenging a loss of 25-plus points. That’s not good news for a group of paper clips who stand 5-12 ATS against foes with same season revenge on their minds from a loss of 20-plus points, including 0-5 ATS in the last five games – not to mention that Phoenix Suns are 12-2 ATS in Last Home Games they win outright, including 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Finally, Phoenix is 5-1 SUATS in this series when looking to avenge a same-season loss of 25-plus points, including 5-0 SUATS when the Clippers sport a winning record.
PICK MADE ON 4/9/2024 AT 8:07 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/10/2024 AT 12:34 AM EST
26 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 8, 2024
6:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Yankees have won seven of their last nine games. They are playing well offensively, scoring at least five runs in three of their last four games. They will play well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against left-handers and they’ve had a lot of success against Luzardo, who gave up five runs in his first two starts. He is 0-2 in two starts against the Yankees, giving up 10 runs in those starts. With Miami also having the sixth-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Yankees in this game. The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games. Even though they played well offensively in their last game, they haven’t looked good on that end so far and scored only 11 runs in their previous four games. Even though Cortez has been shaky on the mound so far, giving up seven runs in two starts, expect the Marlins to struggle offensively in this game because they are batting under .200 against left-handers and Cortez is backed up by one of the best bullpens in the league, so even if they get to him, the damage will be minimized. Go with New York to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/8/2024 AT 11:40 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 8:31 PM EST
26 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 8, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Penguins have been rolling and look to pull off the upset and provide great odds in the process. The problem is that the Maple Leafs have been one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and they look to control this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.62 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Penguins' offense with T.J. Brodie, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net. The Maple Leafs should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.
PICK MADE ON 4/8/2024 AT 9:24 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 10:25 PM EST
26 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 8, 2024
7:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Atlanta Braves are far and away the better team and should be able to dominate against a struggling New York Mets team. We do not know what is going to be coming out of Julio Teheran while Charlie Morton has been dominating throughout his old age. This Braves team has been the best offensive team throughout the beginning stages of the season and should be able to continue doing extremely well. Ronald Acuna Jr. is 4-for-6 with a home run while Marcell Ozuna has a 1.024 OPS in 53 at-bats. All in all, go with the Atlanta Braves to cover the run line in this game.
PICK MADE ON 4/8/2024 AT 11:36 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 11:11 PM EST
26 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 8, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
James Paxton is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA in seven career starts against the Twins. Last season, he met the Twins once as a member of the Red Sox and threw 6.1 frames of a three-run ball in a winning effort. On the other side, Bailey Ober emerged victorious in his lone career start against the Dodgers. Last year, he held the Blue Crew to one earned run on six hits. I’m backing the Dodgers because of their scary lineup. The Dodgers lead the majors in home runs (15) and are third in OPS (.816). They are hitting a strong .298/.373/.477 against the right-handed pitchers, and it’s hard to trust Bailey Ober in this matchup. The Dodgers are 12-1 in their last 13 meetings with the Twins.
PICK MADE ON 4/8/2024 AT 11:44 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 10:26 PM EST
26 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 8, 2024
9:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The UConn Huskies were the betting favorite throughout the tournament and now find themselves listed as 6.5-point favorites in the Championship Game. The Huskies have been dominant in their postseason run, as their closest contest was the 14-point win in the Final Four. All five starters scored 12 or more in that game, as they were led by their freshman Stephon Castle with 21 points, and big man Donovan Clingan (7-2, 280) contributed another 18 points and five rebounds. Tristen Newton is their First Team All-American Guard, he averages 14.9 PPG, 6.6 RPG and 6.2 APG as a 6'5 senior. Newton had 12 points and nine assists in the Final Four win. Cam Spencer is the best shooter on the team, the 6'4 senior guard has 98 made threes and is not far behind Newton in scoring with 14.4 PPG. Spencer has scored in double figures in every tournament game so far. Donovan Clingan is one of the rare players in the nation that can match up with Zach Edey and not give up much size, he is a 7'2, 280-pound sophomore center getting 13.1 PPG and 7.4 RPG. Alex Karaban is a 6'8 sophomore getting 13.5 PPG and can stretch the floor with his jumper. Stephon Castle is a 6'6 freshman getting 11.0 PPG and is coming off the team-high in the Final Four. Conn is the top overall ranked team in KenPom. They also have the top-rated offense in terms of efficiency and rank 4th in defensive efficiency. They play even slower than Purdue does, ranking only 328th in the nation in pace of play Finally, Big East teams are 8-1 ATS while Big 10 teams are 0-6 ATS L18Y in championship contests.
PICK MADE ON 4/8/2024 AT 2:37 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 11:59 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
2:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Brewers have won five of their last six games. They are playing well offensively and scored 12 runs in their last three games. They will play well offensively in this game because they’re batting over .270 against right-handers and Hancock didn’t look good on the mound in his first start, giving up three runs in five innings. With Seattle’s bullpen also struggling during their slump, they will have a hard time slowing down the Brewers in this game. The Mariners have lost three straight games. They are struggling offensively, scoring seven runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they’re barely batting over .200 against right-handers and Rea looked good on the mound in his first start, giving up only one run. With Milwaukee’s bullpen also playing well, they won’t have trouble keeping Seattle’s offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:56 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/7/2024 AT 5:20 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
2:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Miami is 27th in team ERA, 28th in WHIP and 25th in batting average allowed. The Marlins are not much better at the plate, sitting 25th in team batting average, 26th in on base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage. St Louis is slightly better on the mound with the 18th-best ERA. Miami starter Max Meyer had a solid outing in his season debut allowing two runs in five innings including serving up one home run but the Marlins lost nonetheless. Kyle Gibson had a strong debut with St Louis on the mound. Gibson gave up two runs in seven innings to beat the San Diego Padres 6-2 last Monday. Miami has lost eight straight to open the season and the Marlins are 1-9 over the last 10 games played on the road versus St Louis. St Louis has won four of its last six.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/7/2024 AT 6:06 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
3:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
It appears as though the pressure has hurt the young talented roster of the Houston Rockets as they have lost four straight while attempting to move into 10th place in the Western Conference. The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in four of the last five. Dallas is closing in on securing a top six spot in the Western Conference to avoid the play-in round of the postseason. Dallas has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games. Dallas has the sixth best offense in scoring, averaging 118.2 points per day and is 11th in field goal shooting percentage while 10th in 3-point shooting percentage. Dallas has won nine of its last 10 straight up and that includes defeating the Rockets last week 125-107 in Houston, while covering the spread in the process.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/7/2024 AT 6:55 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Bulls take the court in Orlando amid a battle with Atlanta as both teams look to avoid the 10-hole in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They’ll do so with a healthy dose of same-season triple revenge on its mind, with Orlando trying to do its best to stay focused after coming off Friday’s visit to Charlotte, where the Hornets were nesting with an identical same-season triple revenge motive. The question is whether or not you can blame the Magic for not being fully focused here tonight. With the Bulls bringing a brawny 10-3-1 ATS mark in games with same-season triple revenge from Game 70 out and Orlando 0-3 SUATS in games in the second half of opposing same-season triple revengers.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:28 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:34 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Brooklyn is playing for the second straight night here and have nothing to play for at this point after being eliminated from playoff contention. The Nets have sputtered offensively and have been less than inspiring all season long. Sacramento has fallen into the play-in tournament field and hope to try and push back into the actual guaranteed playoff field but they need to win some games plus get some help. The losses of Huerter and Monk have taken perimeter shooting options out of the mix. Still, Sacramento has something to play for and the rest advantage in this contest. Look for the Kings to come up with the victory in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:36 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/7/2024 AT 10:23 PM EST
27 DAYS AGO
SUN, APR 7, 2024
10:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Dallas Stars are a determined squad. They have won eight of their last nine games and can build their lead to five points ahead of the Avalanche with a win in this one. A win would all but secure the division considering only four games remain after this one. The Colorado Avalanche are only 2-4 in their last six games. The Stars have been outstanding in the defensive end and in the net. They are a better defensive squad than the Avalanche and this one will have the emotion of a playoff game. The Stars have allowed two or fewer goals in seven of their last ten games. The Stars also have no issues on the road, collecting the win in four of their last five road bouts.
PICK MADE ON 4/7/2024 AT 8:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/8/2024 AT 1:05 AM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
1:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The power play numbers could not be in more opposite directions as the Penguins are 31st in the NHL with 14.7% of their power plays ending in goals while the Lightning leads all of hockey with a 29.1 power play percentage thus far. These defenses have been doing very similar but there is a slight difference as Tampa Bay is giving up 2.2 goals in their previous five games while Pittsburgh is allowing 2.5 goals in their last four games played. With Andrei Vasilevskiy in the net, go with the Tampa Bay Lightning to pull off the victory.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 9:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 4:02 PM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
2:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
This Marlins team is in absolute shambles right now, so there’s just no way that I can back them in this spot. Steven Matz gets the nod, and the southpaw has owned this Miami roster throughout his career. It’s a slim 31-at-bat sample size, but he’s limited them to a slash line of .194/.219/.258. Furthermore, Matz looked really solid in his season debut against the Dodgers, so I think he may parlay that performance into another respectable start against the floundering Fish. I believe the Red Birds have the edge in starting pitching, the bullpen, and offensively. Let’s not overthink this one, let’s lock in St. Louis at home.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 10:08 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 4:48 PM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
3:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Bruins are closing the season strong and looking to grab the top spot in the NHL yet again this season. The Bruins will turn to goalie Linus Ullmark against the Panthers in the hopes of finishing the regular season at 4-0 vs. the Panthers this season. The Bruins have covered the spread in two of the three games against Florida this season. Boston should have the advantage given the number of shots the Panthers allow on net, ranked 29th in shots allowed this season, and the Bruins' ability to convert at a high percentage, ranked sixth in the NHL in shooting percentage. Florida has been stumbling as of late and seems resigned to taking the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference which will still result in home-ice advantage. The Bruins' recent play suggests that they are anxious to get home-ice advantage in multiple rounds this season.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 10:03 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 6:56 PM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
3:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Interesting matchup between two teams that appear to be unraveling at the wrong time of the season. For the Cavs, much of it has to do with injuries to All-Star guards Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland. Both players were expected back at press time when the Cavs hosted the 76ers a week ago Friday, and it’s safe to say the team needs Mitchell like blood as Cleveland was 11-13 this season sans his services. With it, the young Cavaliers bring an 8-4 ATS road dog log into this contest in games with a revenge chip on its shoulder. Meanwhile, the Lakers return to La La Land following a six game road trip across the county with a lousy 5-13 SUATS mark at home coming off the three-plus game road soiree. Finally, Cleveland is 11-3 ATS as a road dog in this series with a greater than .400 win percentage, including 3-0 SUATS during the second half of the season.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 9:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 6:22 PM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
6:09 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
This is such an intriguing matchup. You have the Cinderella Wolfpack going up against a Purdue team riding the redemption train fast down the track. The Boilermakers come into this game with all the accolades and the best player in the tournament in Edey. The Wolfpack comes into this game with a defense that has held every team in the tournament to under 40 percent shooting including a season-low 32 percent by the Blue Devils in the South Region final. The Wolfpack are the hottest team in the tournament with nine straight wins and have been led by Burns and his ability to score in the paint and find his teammates in passes from the post. I think Purdue will get to the tournament final game on Monday night but I don't think it will be easy. Giving the Wolfpack nearly ten points is too much for a team that has covered every game this tournament and has been an underdog in three of the four games. The Wolfpack have enough bigs to throw at Edey to at least make him uncomfortable. They are not going to stop him but they can at least make him work. While Purdue was one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the regular season, they have not been as efficient in the tournament and now face an NC State team that has been very good against the 3-point shot in the tourney, holding teams to 24 percent shooting. Burns is crafty enough in the paint that he will get his points, even with Edey's large presence looming. This one will come down to the wire. I have faith in NC State's ability to defend and keep pace with Purdue.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 9:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 8:34 PM EST
28 DAYS AGO
SAT, APR 6, 2024
8:49 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Huskies will cover another large spread. They're 4-0 ATS in the tournament and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall. While not usually high-tempo (315th in schedule-adjusted tempo), they can adapt to a faster pace, which will be required against the Crimson Tide (9th in adjusted tempo). They scored 80, 87, and 99 points in three games against more defensive-minded Xavier (35th in adjusted tempo) and UNC (42nd in tempo) squads. Alabama will find this matchup challenging, as Connecticut holds its opponents to 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and discourages them from taking a lot of threes (33.2 percent of their total shot attempts). It also ranks 2nd nationally in two-point defense and 1st in points per shot allowed at the rim. The Tide live and die with a rim-and-three-based offense — I bet on the latter outcome in the Final Four.
PICK MADE ON 4/6/2024 AT 9:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 11:42 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
1:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Yankees will attempt to keep Toronto's offense quiet by starting former Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (1-0, 0.00 ERA). He made his Yankee debut Saturday and allowed three unearned runs on four hits in six innings of a 5-3 win at Houston. Stroman is making his second start against the Blue Jays since they traded him to the New York Mets in 2019. He faced them on Aug. 30, 2022 for the Chicago Cubs and allowed one run in five innings of a no-decision. Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (0-1, 6.23), who allowed three runs in 4 1/3 innings Saturday against the Rays, starts for Toronto. He is 4-3 with a 3.57 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) against the Yankees.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 11:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 4:31 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
6:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Mets will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 3.86 ERA) to the mound in the series opener at Cincinnati. Quintana allowed six hits and two runs over 4 2/3 innings and took a 3-1 loss against the Milwaukee Brewers on March 29 in the season opener. In his career against the Reds, Quintana is 5-4 with a 3.03 ERA in 14 games (13 starts). The Reds will counter with Hunter Greene (0-0, 3.86), also making his second start of the season. The right-hander was the victim of some shoddy fielding behind him in the Washington Nationals' 7-6 comeback win on Saturday. Greene allowed five hits and just two runs over 4 2/3 innings, striking out seven and walking four in a no-decision.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 4:55 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:52 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
New York holds the top spot in the Metropolitan Division while Detroit is fighting to earn the second wild card spot in the Eastern Conference. The Rangers have been hot of late with eight wins in their last 10 games while the Red Wings had dropped four straight before downing Tampa Bay. Detroit has the rest advantage as they had three days off after the win over the Lightning. That will at least give them a puncher’s chance but the Rangers have the advantage between the pipes, defensively and in the special teams departments. That’s too much for the Red Wings, even on home ice here.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:52 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Pacers 3-7 ATS as a favorite against Western Conference opposition this season. Indiana got lucky with back-to-backers against lifeless Brooklyn before tonight’s clash, but if they take on the role of favorite, be aware that Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS as a road dog in this series, including 7-1 ATS in games in which the Pacers sport a sub .600 win percentage. We can add a pinch of revenge to the mix as the Thunder dropped a 10-point decision to Indiana as 5.5-point home chalk three weeks ago. The bottom line is both teams appear firmly entrenched in the playoffs, but OKC is still battling for the top spot in the West.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:37 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Even though they'll be on the road, the Magic will dominate this matchup and come away with the cover and win. Charlotte has been one of the league's worst teams of late and with an injury report that is nearing the double-digits, it's difficult to imagine them having the depth to compete in this one. Orlando leads with their defense and against a Charlotte team whose leading assist-man is averaging just over three a game, the Magic will have no issues lowing them down. Add in plenty of capable scoring and no notable injuries to worry about, means Orlando will dominate. The Magic have covered the spread in five-straight in the series, as they extend that in this one.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:29 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Celtics have been dominant at home, they haven't lost on their home floor in over two months, and their whole rotation is healthy. Boston does not appear to be resting any players yet, as every starter played at least 29 minutes last game. Boston is taking on Sacramento on the second game in two nights for the Kings. Boston just had that similar set up against the Thunder. Oklahoma City played the 76ers, then the Celtics in two nights, and by the time they got to Boston, the Celtics sent them home with a 35 point loss. Sacramento is dealing with injuries, their offense is designed to surround Fox and Sabonis with shooters, but both Huerter and Monk are out. Monk was one of their top scorers, and gave life to their second unit which will now be missing. Porzingis can battle Sabonis inside, last time Sabonis played the Celtics he only finished with 13 points. Similarly, Fox will be thrown off his game by the defensive pressure of Holiday. This leaves Tatum and Brown to focus on offense and dominate the Sacramento wings.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 10:25 PM EST
29 DAYS AGO
FRI, APR 5, 2024
9:38 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Both teams come into this game with momentum as they each earned road sweeps in their early week series. Neither team beat a juggernaut as the Red Sox swept the A’s while the Angels swept the winless Marlins but you take your wins where you can get them. Boston has been solid so far this season and they have the advantage on the bump in this contest with Crawford looking sharp in his debut. Meanwhile, Canning was roughed up by the Orioles in his season debut and the Red Sox are hitting the ball well right now. Look for the Red Sox to ding Canning and put this one in the win column.
PICK MADE ON 4/5/2024 AT 5:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/6/2024 AT 3:12 AM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
4:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
While the Cardinals began their season by going 3-4 in California against the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, the reeling Marlins lost all seven games of their opening homestand against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Angels. St. Louis starter, Lynn (0-0, 0.00 ERA) threw four scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers in his first start of the season on Saturday. He allowed four hits, walked one and struck out five before a rain delay cut short his outing. The Marlins will counter Lynn with left-hander Ryan Weathers (0-1, 6.75 ERA). He is part of a Miami rotation that is missing injured starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara, Braxton Garrett, Eury Perez and Edward Cabrera. Weathers allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks in four innings during a 9-3 loss to the Pirates during his season debut on Saturday. He needed 94 pitches to get 12 outs. I love betting on teams in their home openers when it makes sense. This one makes sense.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 8:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/4/2024 AT 7:42 PM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
7:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Conventional wisdom suggests that I go with Seton Hall in the championship game. They have done a much better job on the defensive end overall than the Sycamores in the tournament and have held the opposition to nearly 15 points less per game than Indiana State. The Sycamores feel like a microcosm of the current state of college basketball: they play fast, shoot the three often, and have a stretch five capable of scoring in the paint and on the perimeter. That fast play has led them to average over 90 points per game in the NIT. The difference for the Sycamores is, that despite playing so fast, they rarely turn the ball over. They get up more shots than the opposition and they shoot the ball at a higher rate than the opposition. This team has been playing with a chip on its collective shoulders since being snubbed for the NCAA Tournament. They are playing with that mid-level conference edge and they will be playing in front of a mostly Sycamore-driven crowd. Remember, the Sycamores come into this game at 19-1 in the state of Indiana this season.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 10:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 9:17 AM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Heat have won three straight games, but two of those were against bottom of the league teams in Portland and Washington. The Heat will likely still be without Tyler Herro, and the 76ers are still unsure if Maxey will play. As for the 76ers, it looks as if they want to use the end of the season to get Joel Embiid back into playing shape. He was visibly fatigued last game, but he was still 12-12 from the line, and had a strong showing in just his first game back. Expect him to slowly return back to his normal form, which is dominating on the inside. Miami is small defensively, Adebayo is a tough defender, but is just 6'9 and gives up plenty of size to the 7'0, 280-pound Embiid. Even without Maxey, Philly still has perimeter players that can step up and score including Hield and Oubre. Oubre has been particularly hot lately, and has welcomed the bigger role by scoring at least 25 points in each of his last two games. Duncan Robinson has been cold lately, and Nikola Jovic doesn't do much in the starting lineup, Philly will look to steal a game here, and stay out of the 9-seed.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 8:27 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/4/2024 AT 10:25 PM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Wild are having a rocky season as their offense has stepped up, scoring 3.03 goals per game. Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek have scored 67 goals and 77 assists to lead the top line but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Matt Boldy, Mats Zuccarello, and Marco Rossi have combined for 57 goals and 96 assists while defensemen Brock Faber and Jonas Brodin have added 14 goals and 51 assists from the point to open up the offense. The offense has stepped up but the defense has struggled, allowing 3.14 goals per game. Jonas Brodin and Brock Faber have combined for 8.1 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. In addition, goaltender Filip Gustavsson has struggled with a .900 save percentage and a 3.04 goals-against average on 1192 shots with -4.2 goals saved above average.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 8:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/4/2024 AT 10:55 PM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Rockets are performing like gold at the right time of the season and we’re not keen on stepping in front with a Warriors team that was on a 5-6 SU slide. Golden State doesn’t land in a money-making role either: The City enters off a same-season double-revenge contest at home against the Mavericks, and they’re just 8-13-1 ATS this campaign in games when coming off same-season revengers, including 3-9-1 ATS versus foes with winning records. Finally, Houston is 15-4 ATS with same-season double revenge versus .500 or greater opponents from game 68 out, including 5-0 ATS at home.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 8:22 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/4/2024 AT 10:58 PM EST
30 DAYS AGO
THU, APR 4, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
While the Clippers defeated the Nuggets the last time these teams met, that snapped an eight-game winning streak for Denver against Los Angeles. That included three straight victories in Los Angeles. Look for the Nuggets to be favored by three. Denver is playing exceptionally well, winning 17 of their last 21. That has vaulted them to the top of the Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, the Clippers saw their three-game winning streak come to an end, but they are just 5-5 in their last 10, including losing three straight games at home.
PICK MADE ON 4/4/2024 AT 8:30 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/5/2024 AT 3:14 AM EST
31 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 3, 2024
3:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Red Sox starters were stunning through the first five games of the season, combining to allow just five runs (four earned) across 28 innings, good for an ERA of 1.29. Of the five pitchers who started, Pivetta (0-1, 1.50 ERA) was among three who worked six innings, while the other two lasted five. Opponents mustered 17 hits against the starting rotation, which racked up 37 strikeouts against just one walk. Pivetta is 5-0 with a glistening 0.82 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Oakland. Fellow right-hander Ross Stripling (0-1, 7.20 ERA) will oppose Pivetta today after allowing five runs (four earned) and seven hits in five innings against the Cleveland Guardians on Friday. Stripling was tagged with the loss, and he hasn't picked up a win since Oct. 1, 2022, while pitching for the Toronto Blue Jays.
PICK MADE ON 4/3/2024 AT 10:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 6:23 PM EST
31 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 3, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Celtics take to the floor looking to even the score from a 127-123 loss at OKC in early January knowing they are 7-3 SUATS this century in this series when playing with revenge from a loss of 7 or fewer points, including 3-0 SUATS during the second half of the campaign. One problem, though, is Boston returning home from a six-game road trek, which would normally put them in ‘play against’ terrain, but the feeling here is there are too many mitigating circumstances working against the Thunder. We told you the Thunder was in a knock-down, drag-out fight for the West lead with the Nuggets and T’wolves and OKC shows up tonight in Beantown playing its third of five straight road games. The Thunder is also in the middle of a same-season revenge sandwich, last night at Philadelphia, and at Indiana on Friday.
PICK MADE ON 4/3/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 10:26 PM EST
31 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 3, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Rockies have gotten off to a forgettable start to the 2024 season, as they have dropped five of their first six games and three in a row while allowing an average of 8.2 runs per contest. After finishing a franchise-worst 59-103 last season, the 1-5 mark this year ties them with the 2005 and 2008 Colorado teams for the worst start in Rockies history.Hoping to start the turnaround for the Rockies is Wednesday's scheduled starter, Cal Quantrill (0-1, 9.00 ERA), who gave up five runs in five innings to the Diamondbacks in the second game of the season. In five career appearances against the Cubs, Quantrill is 1-2 with an 8.22 ERA. Cubs and Counsell will hand the ball first to left-hander Luke Little -- 0-0, 0.00 ERA in two games covering two innings this season -- in what likely will be a bullpen game for the pitching staff on Wednesday. Little pitched a scoreless ninth inning Tuesday.
PICK MADE ON 4/3/2024 AT 2:51 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 11:11 PM EST
31 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 3, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Timberwolves will dominate en route to a win and a cover in this one, as they take care of business at home. Both teams are coming off of a game on Tuesday night and Minnesota's depth, as compared to nearly ten injured for Toronto, will power them through. Beyond that, the Raptors come in without a win in their last ten games, with those struggles carrying out into this one. Minnesota is one of the league's best and most efficient teams on both ends of the court and there's no doubt that they'll dominate at home, where they have one of best marks in the NBA. Toronto has only covered the spread once in their last ten games and they certainly won't make it a second time in this one.
PICK MADE ON 4/3/2024 AT 10:54 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 10:40 PM EST
31 DAYS AGO
WED, APR 3, 2024
9:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Edmonton is trying to chase down Vancouver for the Pacific Division top spot though they are solidly in second place in the division, five points ahead of Vegas with a game in hand. The Oilers have picked up points in each of their last four games but this is going to be a challenge. Dallas has won seven straight games, outscoring the opposition 29-11 in that stretch, and they allowed two goals or less in six of those contests. The Stars are rolling right now and they are at home, plus they have a little extra rest in their back pocket. Look for the Stars to win a tight one as they make it eight straight wins.
PICK MADE ON 4/3/2024 AT 9:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/4/2024 AT 12:31 AM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
6:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Baltimore looked excellent in their first two games of the season, scoring at least 11 runs in each game, and now they will be playing a pitcher who was only 3-9 last season. Alec Marsh is starting for the Royals, he struggled last year and only had a 5.69 ERA. The Baltimore bats will get hot in this one, as Henderson and Santander are both off to a quick start to the 2024 season. Baltimore has 25 runs through their first three games, while KC only had 13, and 11 of them came in one game. The Royals hit five homers in their only win, but have shown very little offensive production outside that. The Baltimore pitching staff has five more strikeouts than the Royals, and are beating them in virtually every category.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 8:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/2/2024 AT 9:20 PM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
7:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Five scorers versus three scorers. Indiana State is deep with talent, Robbie Avila gets all the headlines as he should, but this team is packed with high level scorers. The Sycamores have five players averaging double figures, and have a strong balance across their lineup. Avila is a big who can step out and shoot, Swope and Conwell are excellent outside shooters, Larry can handle the ball and Kent is a wing with size who can score and help on the boards. Utah's top player is Carlson on the inside, but Indiana State has their own big in Avila who can matchup with him. Avila is not an elite defender, but he is a smart player who can force Carlson into bad shots, and get him in foul trouble on the other end. Utah has been favored in every game this postseason, this is the first time they will play a team better than them. Utah has not won a game as the underdog since mid February when they defeated UCLA. Indiana State also had a tougher road, as Utah got the advantage of playing a lower seeded VCU team. The Sycamores may not have made the Big Dance, but they will make in to the NIT Final.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 10:37 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/2/2024 AT 9:19 PM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Capitals have won three of their last four road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring six goals in their last two road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting 21 percent of their power play opportunities. The Sabres are good at killing penalties, but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 11 goals in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Capitals in this game. The Sabres have lost four of their last six games and two of their last three home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring seven goals in their last three games. They have also struggled on special teams, converting 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Capitals have killed over 79 percent of their penalties and
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 9:08 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/2/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
NBA Play of the Day Houston stood 7-2 ATS when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 20-plus points (lost 111-90 here two months ago, and 122-95 at home during the first week of January). Minnesota also takes the court off a pair of weekenders, currently owning a 0-2 SUATS mark in this series when playing with a greater than .590 win percentage. The Timberwolves are wedged into a tight one here, coming off same-season revengers against the Bulls and Nuggets, with more get-even games on deck with the Raptors (4-14 SU and 6-11 ATS before Toronto) and the Suns. Since March rolled around, Houston was 12-1 SUATS in their last thirteen games. Finally, playing on any .500-plus conference road team with same season double-revenge from a loss, the last by 20-plus points, if they are facing a greater than .666 foe is 15-3 ATS.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 8:33 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/2/2024 AT 10:56 PM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
9:30 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Pirates have played this tournament like a team that is trying to establish a winning identity and culture in their program. The Pirates, after sneaking past St. Joe's in the opening round, have dominated each of their last two games and I expect that to continue on Tuesday night. The Pirates are hitting nearly 50 percent of their shots and 40 percent of their three-point shots. More importantly, the Pirates' assist numbers are on the rise in the NIT which indicates an offense that is clicking. The Bulldogs are playing well but also playing with little or no margin for error. They have won their three games by a total of 10 points and are giving up nearly 72 points per game in the NIT. I like the Pirates to roll here and get into the NIT finals.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 4:10 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 12:00 AM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Alex Wood's first start was horrible, and in this start (in the same building), he has an offense that should be even tougher. Oakland's bullpen can't be trusted to stop any bleeding. Expect Boston's offense to have a great night. Bello is facing an offense that was MLB's worst a year ago and didn't make any significant moves that project to change that for 2024. Through four games, the Athletics have drawn walks at a decent rate, and that's about it. Bello didn't issue a single walk in his first start, a strong winning effort.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 8:57 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 3:13 AM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Dallas Mavericks continue to dazzle. They have won five straight road bouts and have also earned the win in nine of their last ten games. Golden State is also winning but their last two games were against the Hornets and Spurs. The Mavericks are 2-0 against the Warriors this season. They are the stronger offensive team, averaging 117.9 points per 100 possessions compared to 116.9 points per 100 by Golden State. The Mavericks' defense has been incredible, making them difficult to beat these days. They have conceded an average of only 101.5 points in their last five games. Four of the Mavericks' last five wins have been by double digits.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 8:39 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 12:48 AM EST
32 DAYS AGO
TUE, APR 2, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
With the way that Sacramento's offense isn't producing right now, this is a tough matchup. Especially without Malik Monk and Kevin Huerter, two key pieces for their rotation. Los Angeles' defense has been better lately and should hold the Kings under 110 points as most teams do these days. So, it'll be on the third-best offensive rating in the league to score at least 112 points to beat the spread. That should be an easy task, especially since the Clippers are third in three-point percentage against a Kings defense that's 29th against threes. Los Angeles is averaging 119.0 points per game against Sacramento this season. Take the Clippers to cover.
PICK MADE ON 4/2/2024 AT 12:44 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/3/2024 AT 12:47 AM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
6:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Did the Royals empty their tank on Sunday? After scoring just two runs in their first two games, they broke out offensively in the series finale. I'm not so sure they can sustain their offensive momentum tomorrow, however. Baltimore SP Kremer was a solid bet at home last season and was 11-3 with a 3.70 ERA in 22 night games, as well. I'm also betting on the O's offense to come back to life. After throttling the Angels for 24 combined runs in their first two games, they managed just one run through seven innings on Sunday. Wacha's ERA was nearly 1.5 runs higher on the road than at home in 2023. His first start for Kansas City will be challenging — I would rather back Kremer today.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:26 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:37 PM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
We’re looking at a potential first-round playoff matchup depending on how things pan out for the Atlantic Division title between the Panthers and Bruins. The Panthers are just 2-5-1 in their last eight games coming into this contest. Meanwhile, Toronto has won two straight and they have played solid hockey on home ice. Samsonov has righted the ship after going down to the minors and the Maple Leafs actually have some stable goaltending with him, Woll and Martin Jones on the depth chart. The Maple Leafs are at home and they are playing physical hockey of late. Look for Toronto to bang Florida around the rink and come up with the home win here.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:19 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Celts have had this game circled ever since they fell here in November as an -8.5-point favorite, and then again a week ago as double-digit chalk. That loss snapped an 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS win skein by Boston as a double-digit road favorite and we know they love taking frustrations out on the Hornets, going 25-6 SU and 23-7 ATS in overall meetings dating back to 2015, including 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS when seeking same season revenge. The Hornets are already making vacation plans and they bring a lousy 10-42 ATS mark into this contest in home games in which they lose as an underdog.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:02 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:36 PM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Atlanta Hawks have been playing well recently, they have won four of their last five, while the Bulls have lost four of five. The Hawks get the extra advantage of the taking on the Bulls on a back to back. Chicago is playing two games in two nights with travel in between. They have a tough opponent in their opening night as well, as they must take on Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert and the rest of the Timberwolves. The Bulls also have two starters on their injury report, as Caruso and Dosunmu are both battling injuries, which makes the second game of a back to back a likely spot to rest one or both of their important players. Chicago is not deep on the wing, as LaVine is out, and they do not have a big time scorer off the bench. Atlanta has adjusted well to life without Trae Young, they beat the Celtics twice recently, and Murray and Bogdanovic have stepped up their scoring. Atlanta has the 8th best offense in the league in terms of efficiency, while Chicago's defense ranks 21st and may be without some of their best perimeter defenders. Take advantage of the Hawks who are on a hot streak and get to play a Bulls team fresh off a battle against Minnesota.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 9:12 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 10:40 PM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Suns have won the last two meetings between these teams, including the most recent contest in New Orleans. It would seem to make sense to take Phoenix in this contest, and that is the smart bet. Not only have the Suns won the last two, but they have won five of the last seven and are 5-2 ATS in that span as well. New Orleans has lost three of their last four against the spread. Phoenix has won four of their last six ATS, and they have been on a weird run on the road where they have alternated wins and losses over the last eight games. This sets the stage for a victory, and that’s what the Suns will do.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 2:59 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 10:57 PM EST
33 DAYS AGO
MON, APR 1, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Six games into a 162-game season, the San Diego Padres are showing the type of offensive punch they so often lacked last year. Sunday's 13-4 rout of the San Francisco Giants marked their second double-figure game and gave them 45 runs, an average of 7.5 runs per game. They collected five doubles and two homers in the first three innings alone. San Diego will try to keep up that prodigious production tonight when it welcomes the St. Louis Cardinals to town for the opener of a three-game series. The Cardinals arrive in San Diego after a difficult 5-4 loss Sunday at the Los Angeles Dodgers. St. Louis was in position to split its opening series of the season after taking a 4-0 lead in the sixth but its bullpen coughed up the lead, denying Steven Matz a win. Matz's 5 1/3 innings tied Zack Thompson for the longest stint any of the team's four starters enjoyed in Los Angeles. That means the Cardinals could use a long outing from one of their free agent acquisitions, veteran right-hander Kyle Gibson, who gets the start today. Coming off a 15-9 season in 2023 for the American League East champion Baltimore Orioles, Gibson would like to improve on his 4.73 ERA. He'll make his sixth career start against San Diego, going 2-1 with a 4.28 ERA in the previous five and 1-0 with a 6.32 ERA in three outings at Petco Park. Finally, last year teams that played on Sunday night and had to travel seemed to never win when having to play Monday in a quick turnaround, and that's where the Cardinals are tonight.
PICK MADE ON 4/1/2024 AT 3:09 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/2/2024 AT 12:48 AM EST
34 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 31, 2024
1:35 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Angels already had a team meeting to attempt to rebuild confidence in the team. This meetings rarely ever rebuild confidence, as the team knows things are already not looking good. Baltimore scored 24 runs in their first two games against Los Angeles, and now they are taking on their third best pitcher. Detmers had a 4.48 ERA last season, and the Baltimore bats will be able to put up numbers again here. In just two games, the Orioles have four players that already have three hits, their lineup is a well-oiled machine, and it starts at the top. Henderson has been excellent this season, and will keep the momentum going here against a Los Angeles team that may be hitting the panic button too early.
PICK MADE ON 3/31/2024 AT 9:00 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/31/2024 AT 4:18 PM EST
34 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 31, 2024
2:20 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Purdue has the talent to win it all and now that it has advanced far enough, it doesn't feel like last season's first-round upset is a cloud hanging over the program. Edey has dominated inside, but the Boilermakers are just as lethal from beyond the arc, as Smith (44.2 3PT%), Loyer (45.0 3PT%), and senior forward Mason Gillis (48.3%) are assassins. They're hardly the only long-range shooters on the roster, either. I expect Edey to have a field day against Aidoo this afternoon. The Vols' big man has been carved up by Hunter Dickinson, Armando Bacot, and others this season, and Edey is head and shoulders above those guys. While UT held Purdue to 4-for-15 shooting from deep in their November matchup, I expect a better shooting performance from the Boilermakers on this stage. Tennessee is solid enough on the perimeter to lock down most teams, but elite shooting squads have had more success. That includes Creighton (11-for-23 on Friday). I came away really impressed by how Purdue played in the second half of Friday's game. Gonzaga was as hot as any team in the tourney field, but it barely managed 30 points after halftime. The Boilermakers also held an efficient Utah State team under 38 percent from two-point range in the round of 32. The Vols can get hot offensively, but I won't bet on positive shooting regression from the first matchup (33.3 FG%). This is Purdue's best shot at a Final Four. Finally, #1 Seeds are 23-8 ATS off BB SUATS wins (Purdue).
PICK MADE ON 3/31/2024 AT 9:32 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/31/2024 AT 4:49 PM EST
34 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 31, 2024
5:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
This marks the third time in less than a month that these teams will do battle. Duke won the regular season meeting before the Wolfpack vanquished the Blue Devils in the ACC Tournament as part of this magical run. NC State is drawing parallels to the 1983 team that Jim Valvano coached to the title with their late season run. It’s hard to argue with a team that won five games in five days just to get in the field, before dispatching Texas Tech, Oakland and Marquette to get here. On paper, Duke is the better team but in a one-game scenario, anything can happen, as we saw with Houston losing Jamal Shead, helping the Blue Devils win that game Friday night. Duke should win this game but it’s closer than expected. Take the points and the Wolfpack in this contest. Finally, #10 or worse Seed dogs of more than 4 pts are 13-4 ATS (NC State)
PICK MADE ON 3/31/2024 AT 9:27 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/31/2024 AT 8:17 PM EST
34 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 31, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Both teams are dealing with injury issues as the regular season winds down though the 76ers will at least be in the play-in tournament while the Raptors are looking to next season. Philadelphia hopes to get Embiid back before the end of the regular season as his absence has taken a massive toll on the team’s metrics, not to mention their win/loss record. On the plus side for the 76ers, they’re facing a Toronto team that is minus at least three starters (Barnes, Poeltl and Barrett) along with a pair of their top reserves in Boucher and Quickley. The Raptors have dropped 12 straight, seven of which have come by double figures. Look for Philadelphia to pick up the win in this contest to right the ship, at least temporarily.
PICK MADE ON 3/31/2024 AT 8:47 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/31/2024 AT 8:50 PM EST
34 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 31, 2024
9:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
It is likely that Sacramento will win this game. They have defeated Utah three straight times and in five of the last six meetings between these teams. However, they are just 3-3 ATS in those meetings. In fact, Utah has won against the spread in two of the last three meetings in Sacramento. While the Jazz are an abysmal team right now, their last three losses have been by 10 points or fewer. They are keeping games close, which should give them a good chance of covering the spread.
PICK MADE ON 3/31/2024 AT 12:09 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 4/1/2024 AT 12:00 AM EST
35 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 30, 2024
4:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
Canning has been a bit of a project, teasing Angels fans with upside but failing to sustain success. His first start of the 2024 season will be a challenge, as Baltimore is fired up and coming off an 11-run shellacking of LA on Opening Day. I'm betting the O's bats will come to life again after a day off on Friday, chasing Canning from the game early. With early run support, Rodriguez will shine, building off of his late-season success in 2023 (2-1 with a 2.64 ERA in August and 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA in September).
PICK MADE ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:51 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 7:44 PM EST
35 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 30, 2024
6:09 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Tournament Game of the Week UConn is destroying their competition, as they won by 39 over Stetson, 17 over Northwestern, and 30 over San Diego State. Their backcourt carried them in the Sweet 16, as they got 18 points from Cam Spencer, and 17 points from Tristen Newton in the win. Newton was a First Team All-American this season and led the team with 15.3 PPG and 6.1 APG as a 6'5 senior guard. He has scored 13 or more in each of the three tournament games, with a high of 20 coming against Northwestern. Spencer is their outside shooter, he is a 6'4 senior guard averaging 14.5 PPG and has knocked down 94 threes on the season on a red-hot 44.1% shooting from deep. Their big man inside is 7'2, 280-pound sophomore Donovan Clingan, he averages 12.6 PPG and 7.4 RPG on the inside. Alex Karaban is another member of the sophomore class, the 6'8 forward can shoot from the outside and adds 13.6 PPG and 5.0 RPG. Stephon Castle is a 6'6 freshman guard getting 10.9 PPG, he had 16 in the win over San Diego State. UConn is currently ranked 1st overall in KenPom. They have the top overall offense in the nation in terms of efficiency and rank 6th in defensive efficiency. They play much slower than the Illini, ranking 319th in the nation in pace of play. UConn is 25-11 ATS as favorite and 16-4 road/neutral
PICK MADE ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:28 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 8:30 PM EST
35 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 30, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Maple Leafs have won three of their last five games. They are playing well offensively and scored nine goals in their last three games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 25 percent of their power play opportunities. The Sabres are good at killing penalties, but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 15 goals in their last three games. They are also playing on consecutive nights and will be dealing with fatigue, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Maple Leafs in this game. The Sabres have lost three of their last four games. They have played well offensively, scoring nine goals in their last three games. They haven’t been as good on special teams, converting 16 percent of their power play opportunities. The Maple Leafs have killed over 76 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up eight goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Buffalo’s offense in check. Go with Toronto to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:57 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:51 PM EST
35 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 30, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
This will be the third meeting of the season between these teams, with both games in Milwaukee. The clubs split those two games. Now they return to Atlanta where Milwaukee won the most recent contest between these teams, but the Hawks have won three of the last four. Atlanta is red-hot right now, winners of four straight games, and they are firing on all cylinders offensively, scoring at least 120 points in each of those games. Milwaukee has dropped their last two contests, and are 5-5 in their last 10. Milwaukee is trying to hold off New York for the second spot in the East, while Atlanta is fighting for their playoff lives. The Bucks may win the game, but it will be a close affair.
PICK MADE ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:44 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 10:42 PM EST
35 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 30, 2024
8:49 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Tigers come into this game having been an underdog in each of their previous three games and prevailing in each. A closer look at the first matchup between the two teams reveals some surprising similarities to the way the Tigers are playing now. Back in their earlier matchup with Alabama, the Tigers' defense was outstanding, holding the Crimson Tide under their scoring average and 40 percent shooting. The Tigers have held each of their three opponents in the tournament to under their scoring average and below their 3-point shooting average. The key to victory here will be to limit the Crimson Tide on the glass. The Tide are averaging over 44 rebounds per game in the tournament. In the first matchup, Clemson's front line held their own and matched the Tide on the glass with each team grabbing 41 rebounds. While Alabama is now 9-10 on the season against tournament teams, the Tigers are an impressive 9-4 against teams that have made the tournament this season. Clemson's backcourt is experienced and has played smart as evidenced by the team's drop in turnovers during this run. I think they will keep the run going tonight.
PICK MADE ON 3/30/2024 AT 9:31 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/31/2024 AT 12:16 AM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
7:09 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
After a so-so 11-5 start to the season, the Golden Eagles have been flying high of late, winning 16 of their previous 20 contests while cashing 14 times in the same games. They’ll take the floor tonight, with the fact that Marquette is 17-1 SU and 13-5 ATS this season versus sub .666 opponents, including 10-0 SUATS the last ten games, knowing that head coach Shaka Smart is 5-1 SUATS as a favorite of fewer than 8 points against ACC competition. That and the fact they are 16-4 SU and 14-6 ATS when laying fewer than 18 points this campaign. There is no refuting the fact that the Wolfpack have been the darlings of the tourney to date, arriving at the Sweet 16 as the only double-digit seed. This, however, is where the meat begins to separate from the bone as No. 11 seeds have been roasted in each of their last three Sweet 16 appearances by an average of 13 points per game. Remember, with 4 starters from last year’s 29 win unit, Marquette was the No. 5 ranked team in the land in the AP Preseason Top 25 poll.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 4:42 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 9:52 PM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Magic’s magical season looks to continue tonight in Disney World when they host the Clippers. The Magic have richly rewarded their backers in Orlando this season, bringing a 22-10 SUATS record, including 14-4 ATS when laying points. And they’ll be anxious to lay them tonight as they look to avenge a 16-point trouncing at the Clippers while checking in off back-to-back revenge bouts with the 76ers. That is not good news for L.A., and its 5-25 SU and 9-21 ATS record as a road dog after facing Philly, including 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in the last seven.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 9:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 10:24 PM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
These teams were in a wild, high-scoring affair in the City of Angels Sunday night. The Lakers have won five straight though one does have to wonder how much action Davis and James will see with both guys dealing with lingering injury issues at the moment. Indiana is the highest scoring team in the league though they do have serious defensive issues as well. The Pacers are 21-15 at home while the Lakers have gone 14-20 as the road team this season, even with their wins over Milwaukee and Memphis this week. With the Lakers banged up at this point in time, you have to give the slight advantage to the Pacers as they find a way to prevail in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 1:29 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 9:35 PM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
7:39 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Gonzaga looked more like an NIT team than an NCAA participant. They had just lost at Santa Clara, dropping their record to 11-5 and their NET ranking fell to No. 46 – otherwise known as bubble territory. But the Bulldogs righted themselves quickly, ripping off 14 wins in the next 16 games, and comfortably made the March Madness at-large field as a No. 5 seed in the Midwest. Hence, despite the fact they are only 3-8 ATS in their last eleven Dances, Gonzaga is, in our mind, the biggest winner in the tournament to date. Virginia, Baylor and Kansas have each won titles in the last five tournaments, and they all failed to make it out of the first weekend in any of the four years they didn't win it all. It really makes you appreciate Gonzaga's run of nine straight Sweet 16 appearances. The bottom line, though, is the Boilers appear hell-bent on revenge for losing in the first round in this tournament to No. 16 seed Farleigh Dickinson. Should you have the urge to step in front of Purdue, we can only remind you about Virginia in the NCAA Tournament the year after they suffered the ignominy of becoming the first No. 1 seed team to ever fall to a No. 16 in the 2022 tourney. The Cavaliers stormed back with egg on their face and promptly proceeded to cut down the nets in the 2023 NCAA Tournament.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 4:32 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Knicks aren't just winning in recent games, they are blowing teams out. The Knicks have won seven of their last eight games and five of those seven wins have come by 12 points or more including the 44-point win over the Raptors on Wednesday. The Spurs have played better but they will struggle on the glass against the Knicks 3rd-ranked total rebounding squad. The Knicks' defense has been outstanding of late as well, now ranking second in the NBA in points allowed per game. The addition of Robinson and the likely return of Anunoby on Friday should give them additional presence both on the glass and defensively overall. Expect another comfortable Knicks win tonight.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 10:12 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 11:42 PM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
The Guardians had a very good pitching staff last season and they have one of their best pitchers taking the mound in this game. The Athletics had one of the worst offenses in the league and they’re bringing back the core of that team. They didn’t have a lot of success against left-handers and didn’t play well when they faced Allen, who gave up two hits and no runs in his lone start against them. With Cleveland also having a good bullpen, they will keep Oakland’s offense in check. The Athletics also had one of the worst pitching in the league last season. Even though they added some depth in the offseason, Stripling didn’t look good on the mound last season, finishing with an ERA that was over 5. He gave up four runs in four innings in his last start against the Guardians and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. Go with Cleveland to cover the money line.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 10:28 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 12:31 AM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
In this tournament, the Cougars have been riding a back-and-forth tightrope, alternating point spread results in each game. And if you’re willing to play the game, you’ll love knowing that No. 1 seeds who allowed 93-plus points in their previous game have bounced back with aplomb in the next contest, going 10-0 SUATS since 1992. And then there is Kelvin Sampson’s 19-5 record outright in his career in games after his troops surrendered 90-plus points in its last game, including 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS with the Cougars. This pretty much puts Houston into an Elite 8 context on Sunday. Couple that with the fact that there has never been a team to win this tournament that lost the first game in its conference tournament, and suddenly you find the Blue Devils playing with a blue dress, not what you’re looking for at this stage of this tournament. And not when you are 6-11 ATS in Sweet 16 performances, including 2-6 SUATS against .788 or greater opposition.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 4:36 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 12:30 AM EST
36 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 29, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Only the ACC delivered more teams (4) in this year’s Sweet 16, but only the Big East remains unbeaten (6-0). With it, the Blue Birds bring a 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS mark into this contest the past two seasons in this tourney. On the other side of the court, the Vols enter with a wobbly 1-6 SU and 2-4-1 ATS mark in Sweet 16 contests, including 0-3 SUATS as a favorite. They are also a horrible 1-6 ATS laying points in this tournament to teams coming off a win in the Big Dance the past seven seasons. Finally, Creighton head coach Greg McDermott is 24-12-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or fewer points in his career against opponents coming off an ATS loss, including 3-0 SUATS during the postseason.
PICK MADE ON 3/29/2024 AT 5:04 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/30/2024 AT 12:31 AM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
3:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: MLB
While the Angels will be without their former two-way ace, the Orioles went out and added one as right-hander Corbin Burnes will get the Opening Day assignment for Baltimore. Burnes, the 2021 National League Cy Young Award winner, went 10-8 with a 3.39 ERA and league-best 1.069 WHIP (walks and hits to innings pitched ratio) last season. The 29-year-old was acquired in a February trade after Baltimore won the American League East in 2023 but was roughed up by Texas hitters in a three-game AL Division Series sweep. Burnes allowed two runs, one unearned, in 5 1/3 innings in his final spring training start. He gave up five hits and struck out four in 57 pitches and then turned his attention to the Angels. The Orioles will also have a new closer, 35-year-old Craig Kimbrel, signed as a free agent this past winter. Kimbrel, owner of 417 career saves, fills in for All-Star right-hander Felix Bautista, who will miss 2024 while recovering from Tommy John surgery.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 8:10 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/28/2024 AT 8:49 PM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
7:09 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
All three of Arizona’s wins in this tournament have come against opponents that were coming off SU underdog wins. Arizona is just 2-6 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 or more points in Sweet 16 contests. Taking it another step further, the Wildcats are just 1-3 ATS in this Tournament against foes coming off consecutive underdog wins. In fact, the Tigers have been dynamite as dogs this campaign, posting a near-perfect 8-1 ATS record. They’ve also not been afraid to get into the ring against quality foes, going 15-5 SU and 13-5-2 ATS this season versus .647 or greater foes. Zona’s recent history in this round, however, has been clearly disappointing: 4-8 ATS in Sweet 16 games, including 1-6 ATS as a favorite, and 0-4 ATS against opponents coming off a pair of SUATS wins. With the Tiger Train still thundering down the track – and head coach Brad Brownell standing 3-0 ATS in this tourney when facing an opponent coming off a win, we're on the Tigers.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 9:03 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/28/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
7:39 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
UConn performed admirably as defending champs this season, going 24-12 ATS in all games, including 22-1 SU and 17-6 ATS since the calendar year changed in January. No. 1 seeds in the Sweet 16 who won and covered their first two games in this event are 24-2 SU and 20-6 ATS, including 5-1 ATS when on a 3-0 SUATS run. As for the 26-win Aztecs, they’re a money-burning 1-5 ATS as a dog away from home this season, plus 0-2 SUATS in this tournament as a dog of more than 8 points – by an averaging losing margin of 24 points per game. With Connecticut on a 5-0-1 ATS run in its last six Sweet 16 contests, stepping in front of the Huskies right now is like trying to cross a six-lane highway while wearing a blindfold.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 8:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/28/2024 AT 10:05 PM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
This will be a great game between two teams eager to improve in the standings. The Golden Knights look to pull off the upset but the Jets look to step up and take over this game on their home ice. The Jets, who average 3.07 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Kyle Connor, Nikolaj Ehlers, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets should limit the Golden Knights offense with Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 9:19 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/28/2024 AT 11:14 PM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Don’t look now, but the Pelicans are right in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race thanks to the one-two power-punch of forwards Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Both of these All-Stars are averaging over 20 points and 5 rebounds per game. As such, New Orleans finds itself in a five-team chase for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference thanks to a recent 9-3 winning run at press time. They also surrendered a season-high 141 points in a 24-point loss at Milwaukee two months ago, which works well with its 11-6 ATS mark in the series when avenging a same-season double-digit loss. On the other side of the court, the Bucks check in after hosting the Lakers on Tuesday in an overtime loss. After Laker looks, the Bucks are just 5-10 SU and 6-9 ATS in non-conference clashes.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 8:57 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/28/2024 AT 10:56 PM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Sweet 16 Play of the Day After a rocky 5-4 start, UNC went on a 10-3 run before the wheels fell off in a 4-5 February. With a puny 20-13 record following a 2nd round exit in the ACC Tournament, the Heels FAILED to make the Big Dance. Even worse, they decided to take their ball and go back to Chapel Hill, spurning the NIT to stew in private over one of the university’s biggest sports embarrassments. Fast forward to now, where the return of Armando Bacot and R.J. Davis took UNC from the pit of despair to a No. 1 seed in this year’s Big Dance. The Westgate SuperBook, however, did not offer as much respect as the Selection Committee when they gave the Tar Heels longer odds of winning it all than No. 2 Arizona. The good news for the Tide is they tickle the twine more than any team in the nation, averaging 90.7 points per game. The bad news is they get ripped for 80.9 PPG on defense, by far the worst of any Sweet 16 team. They also don’t have much positive history in this event, going one-and done in their last two trips to the NCAA tourney, and just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in this tournament versus No. 1 and No. 2 seeds. Meanwhile, Hubert’s Heels are 33-5 SU and 26-12 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points against SEC opposition while Bama is just 1-6 ATS as a dog of 2 or more points this season. North Carolina is on a 10-1 winning run heading into this slugfest! Finally, UNC is on a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS run in its last eight contests in The Big Dance – all since Hubert Davis took the reins three years ago
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 8:37 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 12:30 AM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
10:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Kraken are the clear favorites in this contest, meaning there is not much money to be had by simply taking them against the Moneyline. Instead, it might be worth taking the risk and giving up the 1.5 goals. The Kraken have defeated the Ducks five straight times, including three straight in Seattle. Each of those victories in Seattle has been by at least three goals, as the Ducks have had no answers for them. Eight of the last nine losses for Anaheim have been by at least two goals. The Kraken ended their eighth-game losing streak with the victory over Anaheim on Tuesday and will be looking to still keep their very thin playoff hopes alive.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 1:15 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 3:09 AM EST
37 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 28, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Clones were as good as it gets at the pay window this season, going 26-10 ATS overall, including 26-2 SU and 23-5 ATS versus sub .800 foes. They’re also perennial money makers in this tourney with a 14-5 SU and 12-6-1 ATS ledger as single-digit chalk. Illinois has matched up with Iowa State just twice since 1990, going 0-2 SUATS with both losses by double-digits, which fits nicely with the Illini’s 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS mark the last nine game against Big 12 opponents. ISU ranks No 12 in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage (40.17) and No. 4 in Scoring Defense (612 PPG). Iowa State gives up just over 61 PPG and the Illini are 0-5-1 ATS this season in games in which they failed to score 73 points. With Illinois head coach Brad Underwood on a 0-4 ATS slide in this tourney against .700 or greater foes, we're on the Clones.
PICK MADE ON 3/28/2024 AT 9:14 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/29/2024 AT 12:50 AM EST
38 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 27, 2024
7:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
UNLV hopes to make it three straight wins and two on the road with a win over Seton Hall today. The Running Rebels have won their two games in the NIT by an average of eight points, holding their opponents to an average of 78 points. On the season, the Rebels are 189th in the nation in scoring. They are 75th in field goal shooting and 173rd in 3-point shooting. The Running Rebels are just 252nd in the country in 3-point field goals per game. Defensively, they are 80th in the nation in scoring defense. The Rebels are 122nd in field goal defense and 66th in 3-point defense. The Rebels are 287th in the nation in total rebounds per game and 74th in fewest turnovers.
PICK MADE ON 3/27/2024 AT 5:10 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/27/2024 AT 9:33 PM EST
38 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 27, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Orlando has a ton of advantages in this one. For starters, they're 25-10 (24-11-0 ATS) at home. Then, the Magic are drawing a Warriors team playing for a second straight night on the road. Expect the Magic's defense to hound Golden State all night long and force a ton of turnovers. When Orlando gets to the rim, they should finish those shots frequently. Take the Magic to beat the spread this time around.
PICK MADE ON 3/27/2024 AT 8:16 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/27/2024 AT 9:50 PM EST
38 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 27, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Toronto is playing without Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poetl, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and three others tomorrow, but does it still have a shot at covering the 12.5-point spread? The better question may be, how will they stop hot-shooting Knicks guard Donte DiVincenzo? New York's sharpshooter scored a career-high 40 points on Monday, knocking down a team-record 11 three-pointers. 20 of his 23 field goal attempts were from beyond the arc, putting him eight made threes away from the lead for most three-pointers by a Knick since Evan Fournier hit 241 in the 2021-22 season. He's not the only Knickerbocker who's a matchup problem for the Raptors. Jalen Brunson scored 28 points on Monday and Josh Hart notched his sixth triple-double (11 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists) since January. The backbone of New York's squad has chemistry from their collegiate days at Villanova, making the Knicks a difficult team to play no matter the venue. They'll bury this depleted Raptors roster from three-point range, mixing in the occasional dunk and layup. I'll bet that chemistry shows up again on Wednesday, giving NY enough juice to win and cover as large spread favorites against tanking Toronto.
PICK MADE ON 3/27/2024 AT 8:19 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/27/2024 AT 10:05 PM EST
38 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 27, 2024
8:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Wolves don't have any reason for a letdown in this game as they march on trying to battle for the top spot in the Western Conference. The Wolves are 25-9 at home this season and own the third-best point differential in the Western Conference. The Pistons, meanwhile, have the NBA's worst record and have the third-worst point differential in the NBA. The Wolves should not have much issue slowing down a Pistons' offense that is just 19th in the NBA in field goal shooting and 25th in 3-point shooting. The Wolves also shoot the ball well from long-range and that will be critical against a Pistons' team that is just 22nd in the NBA in 3-point defense. Expect the Wolves to pick up their third straight win on Wednesday night and push the Pistons to their 8th straight defeat.
PICK MADE ON 3/27/2024 AT 8:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/27/2024 AT 10:23 PM EST
38 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 27, 2024
9:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
With the way that this VCU defense is playing, Utah's fans won't witness the same offense that got them this far in the NIT. The Rams are not letting anybody touch 70 points against them. Meanwhile, the VCU offense is quietly efficient, especially on threes where Utah's defense is weak. An area where the Utes won't be able to pull away is at the free throw line, as this team shoots 65.5% there. That will give the Rams ample opportunity to close the gap if they're trailing late. This game will probably be tight throughout, but even if it's not, VCU won't lose by more than six. Take them to beat the spread.
PICK MADE ON 3/27/2024 AT 5:02 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/27/2024 AT 11:26 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
7:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Bulldogs have been outstanding against the spread in their last 11 road games, going 10-1 including their victory on the road in the NIT. The Dawgs are winning by cutting down their turnovers, averaging just 12 per contest in the NIT, and shooting 45% from 3-point range in their two tournament games. The Buckeyes are allowing the opposition to shoot 32% from 3-point range in their two wins thus far but are allowing 84.5 points per game in their two wins. They are also being outscored by four points in bench scoring, while the Bulldogs' bench has outscored the opposition's bench 58-9 in their two wins. Ride with the Dawgs here to keep their NIT success going.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 4:37 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 9:38 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Philadelphia plays their third game in four nights here, which is going to take a toll on them in the contest as heavy legs always slow teams down. The Flyers are fighting to hold onto the final guaranteed playoff in the Metropolitan Division and they have struggled against the Rangers of late as New York has picked up 19 of a possible 20 points in the last 10 meetings. New York has a fight on their hands as they attempt to hang on to the top spot in the division as Carolina has charged within a point in the standings with three weeks to go in the regular season. The Rangers have been solid at home, going 25-9-0 at Madison Square Garden this season. New York, with home ice and coupled with their dominance of Philadelphia, skate away with a home win here and the needed two points.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 2:14 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 10:06 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Miami holds a 7-game safety net from the 10th and final playoff seed, however they’ve lost six of their last ten games overall and have struggled miserably at home this season, going 13-21 ATS overall, including 3-9 ATS against Western Conference opponents. Meanwhile, the Warriors have been golden on this floor in the series, cashing in 12 of their last 18 visits, including 5-0 ATS when seeking same-season revenge from a loss of seven or more points. Golden State arrives holding down the tenth and final spot in the Western Conference playoff race, just one leg up on the surging Houston Rockets. With Golden State entering off a down-to-the-wire, last-second loss at Minnesota, look for the Warriors to improve on their sharp 22-11 ATS mark on the NBA road this season, including 10-3 SUATS the last thirteen games, as they slice up Heat on South Beach tonight.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 8:37 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 10:09 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Bucks should be able to power past the Lakers in this rematch. Both teams are among the highest-scoring teams in the NBA and, while neither has been effective on the defensive end, the Lakers struggle on the road defensively. LA is allowing 120 points per game on the road, ranking them just 25th in the NBA in road-scoring defense. The Bucks will dominate the perimeter, ranking fourth in the NBA in 3-point field goals made per game against the Lakers' 21st-ranked 3-point defense. The Lakers also turn the ball over far more frequently than the Bucks, ranking 19th in the NBA in fewest turnovers per game compared with the Bucks' 8th ranking. Look for Milwaukee to pick up the win
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 8:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 11:29 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
This will be a great game between two evenly matched teams. The Golden Knights look to pull off the upset but the Predators have been red hot and look to dominate this game on both ends of the ice. The Predators, who average 3.23 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Filip Forsberg, Gustav Nyquist, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Predators, who allow only 2.90 goals per game, should limit the Golden Knights offense with Roman Josi, Ryan McDonagh, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Juuse Saros to make plenty of big saves. The Predators should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 8:43 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 11:10 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Edmonton's offense has stepped up but the defense has also been great, allowing only 2.90 goals per game. Evan Bouchard and Mattias Ekholm have combined for 9.7 defensive point shares and 176 blocked shots while Darnell Nurse and Cody Ceci have combined for 5.8 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Stuart Skinner has been great with a .905 save percentage and a 2.65 goals-against average on 1365 shots with 2.8 goals saved above average.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 8:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 11:14 PM EST
39 DAYS AGO
TUE, MAR 26, 2024
9:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Cincinnati may have dispatched a Missouri Valley Conference team in beating Bradley in the second round but that game was at home. The Bearcats were just 4-7 as the visiting team this season and their standout road win came over BYU back in early January. Losing Thomas and Lahkin takes two of the Bearcats top five scoring options out of the mix and makes it tougher to keep up in a track meet situation with Indiana State. The Sycamores rolled up a 15-1 record at home this season, including wins over Drake in the regular season plus SMU and Minnesota in the NIT. Indiana State feeds off the home crowd and their health carries them to a win in this contest.
PICK MADE ON 3/26/2024 AT 2:21 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 11:43 PM EST
40 DAYS AGO
MON, MAR 25, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
This Celtics team isn't just winning but dominating on most nights. They've been doing it shorthanded lately, and that won't be as much of an issue on Monday. As for Atlanta, there are already multiple key pieces ruled out for this one, including Trae Young. So, expect a Boston squad that is already +18 in this season series to win by double-digits. Atlanta relies on their offense, but they've only reached 115 points thrice in their last nine games. Boston is second in defensive rating among NBA teams. There isn't a more efficient offense than the Celtics', who will face no resistance from Atlanta. Take the Celtics to cover the spread.
PICK MADE ON 3/25/2024 AT 11:31 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 10:06 PM EST
40 DAYS AGO
MON, MAR 25, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Brooklyn is the healthier team, which is saying something, as the Nets are playing without Ben Simmons, Cam Johnson, and three other players. Toronto is going to be without Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poetl, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and three others tomorrow. That's a lot of talent that isn't taking the court for the home team, especially considering Toronto traded its best player, Pascal Siakam, earlier this season. Will the Nets coast to a victory? Probably not, but they're still my best bet to cover the spread. Brooklyn can knock down the three-ball, especially when Cam Thomas is in a groove and the Raptors rank 23rd in opponent 3PT%. Their rim defense is also weak (23rd in opponent rim FG%). With Thomas and Bridges leading the way, the Nets have enough offensive firepower to cover as five-point favorites Monday in Canada.
PICK MADE ON 3/25/2024 AT 11:35 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 10:10 PM EST
40 DAYS AGO
MON, MAR 25, 2024
8:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The offense has struggled but the defense also disappointed this season, allowing 3.01 goals per game. Nick Leddy and Colton Parayko have combined for 8.4 defensive point shares but the rest of the unit has struggled, allowing opponents to find open shots on the net with ease. The bright spot has been the play of goaltender Jordan Binnington who has a .912 save percentage and a 2.85 goals-against average on 1542 shots with 13.0 goals saved above average. Binnington has won three of his last four starts and has posted a solid .926 saves mark so far in March. Additionally, St. Louis is 6-1 in its past seven games.
PICK MADE ON 3/25/2024 AT 12:52 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 11:10 PM EST
40 DAYS AGO
MON, MAR 25, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Sacramento is currently in the heat of Western Conference playoff chase, in a three way in a battle with Phoenix and Dallas for the No. 6 seed at press time, with each team sporting 29 losses this season.The bottom line is they can’t afford to take any backward steps at this stage of the season. Sacramento will take the floor tonight looking to get even from a 112-93 thrashing in Philly back in January, marking its tenth straight loss to the Sixers in this series. With the Sixers just 4-8 ATS in the second of back-to-backers with no rest this season, including 1-5 ATS away, it’s time for the Kings to put a halt to Philly’s dominance tonight.
PICK MADE ON 3/25/2024 AT 8:10 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/26/2024 AT 12:46 AM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
12:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Marquette had their issues in the opening half of their first-round game against Western Kentucky but turned things on in the second half to pull away and earn the victory. The Golden Eagles come into the game 26-9 overall and went 14-6 in the Big East in the regular season. Against Western Kentucky, Marquette led by as many as nine in the first half before giving up an 18-5 run over the final 6:54 of the first half to trail by seven at intermission. The Golden Eagles turned it on in the second half, outscoring Western Kentucky 51-26 to win going away. Marquette shot 47.8% from the field, including 13 of 36 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 44-37 in the contest. Kam Jones poured in 28 points to lead the Golden Eagles in the win.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:56 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 2:22 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
2:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Minnesota Golden Gophers struggled late in the regular season where they lost four of their last five games. They lost by 10 points in their first game in the Big Ten conference tourney. Meanwhile, the Indiana State Sycamores made it to the finals of the MVC tourney and have won seven of their last eight games. Indiana State is the superior offensive squad here by a big margin. Minnesota is only averaging 114.2 points per 100 possessions compared to 119.2 points per 100 by Indiana State, good for 15th in the country. When it comes to defense, the Sycamores have slightly better numbers. Also, this is not a neutral site game. The Sycamores are on their home court where they have only lost one game all season. Four of their last five wins have occurred by at least 10 points.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 4:30 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
6:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The Flyers look to step up on their home ice but the Panthers are having a remarkable season and look to take over this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.22 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers should limit a Flyers offense that averages only 2.91 goals per game with Gustav Forsling, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Anthony Stolarz to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:11 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 8:46 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
These teams are built similarly, slowing the game down and relying on their offense to optimize the limited possessions. The rebounding battle in this game should be about even. Clemson will probably have a slight edge in ball security. The reason that the Tigers will bring this down to the wire is that their defense is far better at forcing missed shots. Baylor's defense has put on a show against weaker teams recently, but for the season the Bears did not force many misses. Expect Clemson to fight until the end of Sunday's game. They may not win, but they won't lose by multiple possessions.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 10:08 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 8:48 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The thing about Alabama is that the relentless nature of the team's play eventually wears down the opposition. It proved true in their first tournament game as the Cougars hung in for a while but were eventually worn down by the pace of play and the relentless rebounding and perimeter shooting of the Tide. Grand Canyon has been a plus defensive team this season but has not played teams that even approach the tenacity of the Crimson Tide. While the Antelopes are good on the perimeter defensively, they will be less than familiar with Alabama's penchant for launching threes off of the fastbreak. The Antelopes are not pushovers by any means, ranked 55th according to KenPom, but they don't have the depth to keep up with Alabama for 40 minutes. It will be close for a good portion of the game thanks to Grand Canyon's ability to defend in the halfcourt, shoot at a high rate, and rebound. Eventually, however, like the College of Charleston, the Antelopes will wear down and be knocked off by the Tide.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:59 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 10:06 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
7:30 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Having home-court advantage is huge for the South Florida Bulls in this one. As is their offense, which has significantly better ball security in this one. Those edges should be enough for USF to advance again. The Bulls have one of the few defenses in the NIT that can force misses at the same level as VCU. USF's incredible three-point shooting will test the Rams all night long. Expect USF to win by at least three points to keep their season alive.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 10:11 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 3:13 AM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
7:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Connecticut ranks as the best team in the country. The Huskies are 1st in offensive efficiency, 11th in defensive efficiency, and 324th in tempo (schedule-adjusted). They're 15th in field goal percentage (49.2%), 10th in opponent field goal percentage (39.8%), and 2nd in opponent rebounds (26.0 per game). UConn also ranks first nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.89).
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:52 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 10:08 PM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Aggies only lost by four on a neutral floor against this team earlier in the season. Texas A&M's rebounding gave Houston problems. The Aggies protect the ball well also, which is why the turnover battle was even in that game. Asking the Aggies to keep this game within single digits isn't an issue at all. Especially since Houston's weak free throw shooting will give Texas A&M extra life late in the contest. Efficiency from the floor may cost the Aggies the game, but they'll have a shot at winning in the waning moments.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 10:05 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 12:15 AM EST
41 DAYS AGO
SUN, MAR 24, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Indiana Pacers have been tough to beat on the road, winning four of their last five road games. The Los Angeles Lakers have been an inconsistent and unreliable squad all season. They are only 2-2 in their last four bouts. The Pacers continue to dazzle in the offensive end. They are averaging 119.8 points per 100 possessions compared to only 115.2 points per 100 by Los Angeles. Also, the Pacers are showing improvement defensively, conceding an average of only 110.8 points in their last five games, 10 fewer points than their season average. The Pacers are winning by comfortable margins. Each of their last five wins has been by at least 10 points. I expect the Pacers to win this game.
PICK MADE ON 3/24/2024 AT 9:03 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/25/2024 AT 12:50 AM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
12:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
This game is going to be a tightly contested matchup with two teams that have solid players leading the program. However, Arizona’s Ballo should be able to slow down Dayton’s Holmes down low and that will be a massive difference in terms of against the spread as Dayton is a good 17-15 ATS while Arizona is 21-11-2 ATS thus far. The Wildcats’ offense is the best part of either team and the Flyers’ defense will not be able to contain the Wildcats. Dayton was fortunate to win their first-round game. With Arizona’s size and rebounding ability, go with the Arizona Wildcats to cover the spread and win by double digits.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 10:02 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 3:28 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
1:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
The defenses as of late show a significant gap as Winnipeg is giving up just 1.75 goals in their previous four games while New York is allowing 4.6 goals in their last five games. The ability to not let the opposition get shots on goal is critical and there is a difference here as well throughout the season as the Jets have 29.6 shots on goal allowed per game while the Islanders have 32.9. With Connor Hellebuyck in the net as well, the Winnipeg Jets are the easy choice here.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 10:07 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 3:58 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
1:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
Boston is leading the NHL with 97 points and has a three-point lead in the Atlantic division over Florida. The Bruins are 6-3-1 over the last 10 games and on the road this season have an impressive 18-6-9 record. Philadelphia is just 4-4-2 over its last 10 games played and at home is not bad but is not dominating at 18-14-3. Boston has a pair of goalies that have seen nearly equal time with Jeremy Swayman having 22 wins in 39 appearances with a 2.57 goals against average and .917 save percentage. Linus Ullmark has 19 victories in 34 appearances with a 2.64 goals against average and .914 save percentage. Boston is 2-0 in two meetings head to head with Philadelphia this season, outscoring Philadelphia by a combined 12-7.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 10:10 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 4:13 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
3:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
These teams are both playing well but the Gonzaga Bulldogs should be able to win here and cover the spread. With the loss of Kevin McCullar Jr. for the tournament, it is tough to expect the Jayhawks to do well here. Graham Ike could slow down what Hunter Dickinson is able to do in the paint, while taking advantage of less defense for Kansas at the other end. When looking at KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin, the Bulldogs are 12th in college basketball with a +22.61 rating while the Jayhawks are 24th with a +18.61 rating. All in all, go with the Gonzaga Bulldogs to win by multiple possessions.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 5:50 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
6:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Cyclones are on the verge of a Sweet 16 appearance as they get set to square off with Washington State today. A Big 12 Title, 29 wins, and a Sweet 16 appearance will certainly put this team among the greatest in school history. They come into this matchup ranked 92nd in the nation in scoring offense. The Cyclones are 52nd in field goal shooting and 106th from 3-point range. They are just 252nd in 3-point field goals made per game. The Cyclones make their biggest imprint on the defensive end. They are 4th in the country in scoring defense. The Cyclones are eighth in field goal defense and 58th in 3-point defense. They are just 287th on the glass but a solid 70th in the nation in the fewest turnovers per game.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 8:47 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
7:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
NC State is the hottest team in the country. I won't pick against the Pack on Saturday, even against an Oakland team coming off its biggest win in school history. The Golden Grizzlies will not benefit from playing a sub-par defense tomorrow, as they did in the first round versus Kentucky. The Wolfpack held Texas Tech under 25 percent from three-point range in their round of 64 game and will take away the three-ball tomorrow, making the Grizz too one-dimensional. I feel confident NC State can hold Oakland's bigs in check (16 points in the paint vs. UK) after giving up just 20 points in the paint vs. TTU. Offensively, North Carolina State will dominate inside. Burns will attack Oakland's conference POY Townsend, who will pick up fouls and surrender too many points against NC State's bruising big man. With a substantial scoring advantage at the rim, the three-point shot will open up for Horne and others, burying the Golden Grizzlies' season.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:41 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
8:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Dukes have now won nine straight games including a sweep through the Atlantic 10 Tournament and their round one victory. In those five games, they are scoring 64 points per game while allowing just 61.6 points per game. They are being led by their two veteran guards, Clark and Grant. Clark is scoring 14.8 points per game during this postseason stretch while Grant paces the Dukes with an average of 16.8 points per game. The Dukes are now 2-3 vs. tournament teams with their win over BYU on Thursday. They will once again lean on a defense that is 29th in the nation in scoring defense and 53rd against the 3-point shot.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:53 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 11:14 PM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
9:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Blue Jays have enough talent to derail the Ducks' momentum on Saturday, and I feel confident they'll play well enough to cover, too. Oregon has players, but it lacks the cohesiveness Creighton has. The Ducks are playing better on the fly, but the Blue Jays have been soaring together for years. The battle between Dante and Kalkbrenner will be exciting, but I'm more interested in the back-and-forth action between Oregon and Creighton's guards. Couisnard made a statement against his former team, and Shelstad has played like an upperclassman, but the former is a streaky, inefficient scorer, and the latter is still a frosh. The Blue Jays' guards are more experienced and won't wilt under pressure down the stretch. I also believe CU's rebounding advantage will be challenging for UO to overcome. Bet on the Blue Jays to win and cover in gritty fashion.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 9:58 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 12:50 AM EST
42 DAYS AGO
SAT, MAR 23, 2024
10:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Nuggets have dominated Portland of late, winning six straight and eight of the last nine. They have also done so with pretty sizable victories, winning four of the last 6 by 11 points or more. That included a 15-point victory the last time these teams met in Portland. With the Trail Blazers playing on Friday and with so many injuries, this should be an exhausted Portland club. They simply cannot keep up with Denver, especially if Jokic is healthy.
PICK MADE ON 3/23/2024 AT 10:13 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/24/2024 AT 12:52 AM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
1:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Aztecs rode a winning train right to the title game of last year’s NCAA tournament. Yet, despite an up-and-down campaign this season, which saw them drop 4 of their final 6 games to conclude the season, they find themselves back as a No. 5 seed in a dreaded matchup against a rising 12 seed. Keep in mind that 5 seeds coming off a loss are just 10-21 ATS since 2012, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS when the 5-seed sports a sub-700 win percentage.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:48 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 4:30 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
2:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Marquette was the No. 8 team in this season’s AP Preseason Top 25 poll, were it not for an oblique injury to Big East Player of the Year, PG Tyler Kolek. He is one of the most unique passers in the game and leads the nation in Assists Per Game. The Eagles were 22-6 this season with him and just 2-2 without him. If he's back in the lineup, Marquette is a genuine threat to cut down the nets. For now, though, they ride a 1-5 SUATS record of late in this tourney. The Hilltoppers swept the CUSA tourney en route to earning a bid and were 8-3 ATS when taking points this season and 10-2 ATS in games when coming off a win of more than seven points. They are also 7-0 ATS as a dog of late in this tournament..
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:38 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 4:33 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
2:45 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Hatters have never gone dancing before and now they’re the one team in this tournament that knows beyond a doubt that they’ll get slaughtered. Still, when you’re taking almost four touchdowns, getting slaughtered does not eliminate the possibility of cashing a ticket. Stetson lost by 31 at Houston and 16 at ULNV this season and after playing the majority of its games on the road, it paid enough benefits to land them in this contest. Not enough, though, to overcome UConn’s 5-1 ATS in opening round games as a favorite of -26 or more points – by an average win margin of 38 PPG. And since the Huskies are riding a 23-5 SU and 22-6 ATS mark in this tournament since 2009, we’re not going to try on this hat today.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:24 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 5:51 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
3:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Tigers is 6-1 ATS when taking points this season, including 3-0 ATS from non-conference foes. In addition, Clemson enters this fray with a super-sharp 5-0-1 ATS log in this tournament against foes arriving off a win. Now that they’ve appeared to turn the corner under veteran head coach Brad Brownell, we see them possibly deep in this event. NCAA Tournament dogs with a gap of 3 or more seeds are 16-10 SU and 17-9 ATS first-round games, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS when coming off consecutive losses. With that, New Mexico enters this contest, having swept its way through the Mountain West tournament, winning and covering 4 games in 4 days in the process. Prior to the surge, though, the Lobos were riding a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS skein.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:32 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 5:51 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
4:30 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Gators were the epitome of a team on an up-and-down ladder this season, yet survived 11 losses to gain admittance to this party. In addition, they struggled in games outside the SEC (5-8 ATS). However, they’ve gone 7-0 ATS in opening round games of this tournament when coming off a loss. Finally, Play-in teams are coming off a win are just 12-46 outright all-time.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:42 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 7:27 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
6:50 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Although the Aggies are like vacuums on the offensive glass, they're simply far too inefficient to advance in this one. Nebraska's defense is capable of consistently forcing missed shots until they grab a board. The Huskers shouldn't fear Texas A&M at the free throw line either. The battle on the other end features a mediocre three-point defense against a Nebraska squad that attempts 26.4 per game and hits 35.8% of them. The Huskers hit free throws and protect the ball well enough to optimize their possessions. Texas A&M let their last two opponents exceed 85 points. Roll with Nebraska to advance and beat the tight spread.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 4:25 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 9:53 PM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
9:55 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Trying to separate 8-and-9 seeds is like splitting up conjoined twins. You never know how successful you’re going to be. No. 8 seeds are 90-86 overall against No. 9 seeds in this tournament. When it comes to the spread, the 8-seeds are 24-22-1 ATS when taking points, including 4-0 SUATS since 2000 with a .800 or greater record. That being the case, the Aggies enter 16-0 outright this season against .666 or fewer foes, while TCU is just 2-4 ATS this campaign when going up against .655 or better opponents. We can’t argue with numbers like those.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 4:29 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 3:13 AM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
10:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
After a humiliating homestand, look for the Kraken to lick their wounds and get back in the win column. They lost in a shootout the last time these teams played, but they had beaten the Coyotes in the previous four meetings and are 2-0-1 in the last three in Arizona. The Coyotes are extremely inconsistent right now and so it is not surprising that oddsmakers are unsure of how to call this game. They are 5-5 in their last 10, scoring 29 goals while giving up 33. Neither team has much to play for but pride and the Kraken clearly want to erase the bad taste of an abysmal homestand.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 8:21 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 3:10 AM EST
43 DAYS AGO
FRI, MAR 22, 2024
10:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
Lebron is 4-1 ATS in his career from Game 70 out during the regular season when playing with same-season revenge from a loss of 29-plus points. Life hasn’t been the same for the Sixers since the loss of the Big Man, Joel Embiid. They were 26-7 with him in the lineup this season, but just 11-21 without him at press time. Philly was on a 1-5 SU skid as well heading into last weekend and will have to do battle with Charlotte, Miami and Phoenix before landing in the City of Angels. The bottom line in tonight’s contest? The Lakers dole out $88 million combined annually to LeBron James and Anthony Davis, and THIS is the time of the season when they really earn their money.
PICK MADE ON 3/22/2024 AT 8:18 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/23/2024 AT 3:10 AM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
12:15 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
It’s Tom Izzo time, and the tournament knows it, as this marks his 26th consecutive appearance in the event. The Wizard is 21-7 outright in games against the SEC, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS during March Madness. In addition, he also stands 19-6 SU in opening round games in this tournament, not to mention 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS overall in this tournament as either a favorite or a dog of 4 or fewer points against foes seeded higher than his squad. It was a bit of a disappointing season for the Bulldogs, a 21-win team last season that welcomed all five of its starters back this campaign. Yes, they won 21 games again this season, but they entered this contest just 2-4 overall in their last six games. The bottom line is Sparty will be out to prove the aforementioned preseason prognosticators correct, and we’re not about to get in the way.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:49 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 2:23 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
12:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Duquesne head coach Keith Dambrot (LeBron James’ high school coach in Akron) led his team to their first NCAA tournament bid in 47 years (1977) as they beat VCU to gather its 4th win in four days and win the A-10 title. Note that 33 such teams have accomplished this feat this century and they’ve pretty much kissed their sisters in NCAA tourney openers, going 15-8 SU and 16-16-1 ATS, but 7-13 SUATS when coming off a win of 6 or more points. Still, they were 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS as either a pick or dog this season and since we’re not interested in laying close to double digits today, we suggest you put up your Dukes with Duquesne
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:35 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 3:25 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
2:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
All the talking heads want to discuss is the possibility of No. 2 Arizona facing No. 1 North Carolina in the West Regionals. The stakes would be big – a trip to the Final Four – with Caleb Love, who last spring transferred from the Tar Heels to the Wildcats, trying to defeat his former teammates and his former teammates trying end his season. But that’s the future maybe and fortunately for today’s combatants, they get to stay somewhat close to home by meeting at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The 49ers are 18-7 ATS as a dog in Pac-12 performances, which puts us on Long Beach versus Arizona today.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:44 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 4:33 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
3:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Big Ten tournament champions are just 2-6-1 ATS in tourney openers since 2014. What Morehead State has on its side is the fact that they rank No. 5 in Defensive Field Goal Percentage, No. 8 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 76 in Rebound Margin. Those sticky stats are what pulls off upsets during The Dance, even if troubled former NFL WR Antonio Brown has labeled the Eagles as his choice to win this tournament. Finally, the Illini are 3-12 ATS as a favorite under head coach Brad Underwood when facing a non-conference opponent coming off consecutive wins, including 1-9 ATS when Illinois owns a greater than .700 win percentage.
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 8:51 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 5:50 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
4:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The Gamecocks turned on the jets at the right time this campaign when they closed out the season on a 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS run, including 6-1 ATS away from Columbia. They were also an eye-opening 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS outside the SEC, including 8-0 ATS against non-conference opponents that were coming off a win. They also went 25-9 ATS under second-year head coach Lamont Paris when playing on three or more days of rest, including 20-3 ATS of late. The Ducks won their final four games of the season to capture the final Pac-12 tournament. They also bring a 7-1 ATS ledger in their last eight games into the tournament fray. While there are good numbers abounding on both sides of the ball, our call goes to the hotter Cock squad
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:31 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 6:54 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
4:30 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Nevada did play well outside the conference this season, going 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS but our concern is its underachieving 3-7 SUATS log the last ten games in this event, including a 1-5 SUATS mark against .696 or greater foes. While the Flyers were third-place finishers in the Atlantic-10, they finished just one game back of the top spot. Dayton has endured a three-game losing streak in this tournament but are 5-1-1 ATS in The Dance when they sport a sub .750 win percentage. Strange to see the Flyers as a higher-seeded underdog; however, we’re not about to back down.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:39 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 7:12 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
6:50 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
We know that No. 10 or 11 seeds who win a Play in game are live in opening round contests and are 6-5 SU and 8-3 ATS when facing .750 or fewer foes. A quick glance at the Longhorns’ lousy 11-20-1 ATS overall ledger, including 3-9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents this season seals the deal. And we didn’t even mention Hook ‘Ems haughty 3-12-1 ATS record in this tournament since 2010.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 4:31 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:05 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
7:07 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
St Louis has won four of the last five overall and the Blues have won eight of the last 11 head-to-head versus Ottawa. St Louis has also won six of the last eight played on the road against the Senators. Ottawa has won just three of its last 12 games overall and has lost five straight against a team from the Western Conference. St Louis goalie Jordan Binnington has a 2.83 goals against average and .913 save percentage. Binnington was in goal on December 14 when St Louis defeated Ottawa 4-2 and pushed aside 32 or 34 shots faced between the pipes. In contrast, Ottawa goalie Joonas Karpisalo has a 3.37 goals against average and .887 save percentage. Ottawa has lost eight of the last 10 games that Korpisalo has been in goal and Korpisalo was in goal when the Senators lost to the Blues 4-2 last December. The incentive is much higher for St Louis to win as they are just four points behind the second and final wild card spot in the Western Conference, while Ottawa is on the verge of being eliminated from postseason contention.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 8:34 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 9:51 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
7:25 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
NCAAB Game of the Week McNeese is led by second-year head coach Will Wade, who previously took LSU and VCU to the NCAA Tournament and will lead McNeese to its first tournament appearance since 2002. His troops dominate the NCAA statistics, ranking No. 1 in Win Margin, No. 3 in both Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Turnover Margin, No. 5 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 10 in Offensive Field Goal Percentage. Needless to say, that’s quite a laundry list. Meanwhile, after a lethargic 11-5 start to the season, the Zags closed like a racehorse, but it was too late when they fell to Saint Mary’s in the West Coast Conference title game. With it, they ride a 1-8 ATS overall mark in their last nine games into this tourney contest. That’s not promising news against a 12-seed that can flat-out play, a double-conference champion taking points from a foe that was neither. Finally, McNeese head coach Wade is 3-0 ATS as a No. 8 or lower seed in the NCAA tournament versus .800 or fewer opponents
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 8:58 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 10:05 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
9:10 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
The Knicks own a miserable 4-14 SU and 6-12 ATS overall in this series despite their recent heroics. The Knickerbockers also show up here off a same-season revenger at Golden State and they’re just 7-14 SUATS after facing the Dubs. Yes, the Knicks own the fourth-best record in the East but overall this season the Eastern Conference owns a .477 win percentage compared to the West’s superior .523 mark. Those numbers should come into play tonight as the Nuggets take a bite out of the Big Apple.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 8:29 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/21/2024 AT 11:47 PM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
9:55 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
These disrespected puppies bring quite a bit into this tourney and MUST be respected. The 29- win Bulldogs were also rock-solid in the stat wars this season, ranking No. 5 overall in Points Per Game as well as No. 15 in Overall Win Margin. They also won 29 of their final 32 games after opening the season with a pair of losses at Purdue and VCU. The question is whether Kansas can regroup after losing leading scorers G Kevin McCullar Jr. (18.3 PPG) and C Hunter Dickson (18.0 PPG and 10.8 RPG) down the stretch. Keep a close eye on the injury ticker, as both are expected back during this tournament. For now, though, Sam (not Stan) gets the call
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 4:36 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 3:11 AM EST
44 DAYS AGO
THU, MAR 21, 2024
10:05 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Drake looked impressive in its three-game run to the Missouri Valley Tourney championship, fending off a pair of strong teams in Bradley and Indiana State to claim the title. Unfortunately, despite winning 27 games last season, and 28 this campaign, the Bulldogs have little to show for it in this tournament, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in this event. Yes, they’re riding a recent 4-0 SUATS win streak but they’re just 8-15 ATS outside the conference the past two seasons, including 2-9 ATS with three or more days of rest. Drake went one-and-out last year, and if the current line stays the same, WSU will bring along a 6-3-1 ATS record as pups this season. Finally, Pac-12 teams are 4-0 SUATS since 1990 when dancing against the Missouri Valley.
PICK MADE ON 3/21/2024 AT 4:40 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/22/2024 AT 12:46 AM EST
45 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 20, 2024
6:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
Here we go again, kowtowing to the wishes of the Well-Oiled Machine and fading a .500 favorite in the 17-17 Bobcats while using the double-champion Tigers from the SWAC. And why not? Grambling won 20 games with its first SWC conference title. Since 2018, the SWAC has won its opening round game three times in its five NCAA appearances, including two of the last three contests. They’ve also captured nine of their last ten overall games to conclude the season. This is from a unit that started the campaign on a 2-10 downer. Meanwhile, Montana State was picked to finish in eighth place in the Big Sky by the Scribes in a preseason vote but outplayed the press while winning its third-straight Big Sky title. However, they are another No. 16 seeded chalk artist that has struggled in these First Four games. We’ll be gambling with Grambling this evening.
PICK MADE ON 3/19/2024 AT 1:47 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/20/2024 AT 9:37 PM EST
45 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 20, 2024
7:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The ability to control the glass is critical to win games and there is a bit of a difference as Loyola Chicago is averaging 36.7 total rebounds per game while Bradley is grabbing 34.7 total rebounds per game. The Ramblers have been able to keep the offensive numbers very similar and it makes it hard for the Bradley Braves to step up and pull out a lead. All in all, take Loyola Chicago to pull off the upset on the spread.
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 4:30 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/20/2024 AT 9:35 PM EST
45 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 20, 2024
7:37 PM EST
LEAGUE: NHL
N/A
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 8:45 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/20/2024 AT 10:21 PM EST
45 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 20, 2024
7:40 PM EST
LEAGUE: NBA
NBA Game of the Week The Celtics were riding high at 29-8 on the season. They had just come off a same-season revenge victory at home against Minnesota the night before and immediately hit the road for a back-to-backer versus Milwaukee. The Bucks stormed out to a 41-23 lead after the first quarter and never looked back, going on a 25-0 run before the white flag was raised and the starters were benched, taking a 75-38 lead into the half, the largest lead in franchise history. When it was over, Boston’s hide was thoroughly tanned after a 135-102 beating. The payback tips at 7:40 in Beantown tonight, and for what it’s worth, Boston is 3-0 ATS in this series when avenging a same-season defeat of 25 or more points, with every win by double-digits. They are also 16-5-1 ATS the last twenty-two games in this series, including 7-1-1 ATS when coming off a home contest. The Bucks are just 1-7-1 ATS as a dog against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30-plus points; and finally playing on any .545 or greater NBA team seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 33 points if they are facing a .545 or greater foe is 16-2 ATS.
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 8:23 AM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/20/2024 AT 10:26 PM EST
45 DAYS AGO
WED, MAR 20, 2024
9:00 PM EST
LEAGUE: NCAAB
The San Francisco Dons are the pick here, with their remarkable offensive firepower and sharpshooting capabilities setting them apart. Averaging 77.9 points per game on an impressive 48.9% shooting from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, the Dons' ability to light up the scoreboard cannot be overstated. Their free-throw shooting is reliable at 75.8%, ensuring they capitalize on opportunities at the line. Defensively, San Francisco is no slouch either, limiting opponents to 66.3 points per game. Key players like Jonathan Mogbo, who not only leads in scoring and rebounding but also contributes significantly in steals and blocks, exemplify the team's balanced attack. The Dons' performance against high-caliber opponents this season shows they're battle-tested and should be able to dominate in this game.
PICK MADE ON 3/20/2024 AT 4:25 PM EST
PICK GRADED ON 3/20/2024 AT 11:44 PM EST
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